Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
John Carter

John Carter

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

John Carter is trading at 95% to win the TX-31 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age84 years old (Nov 6, 1941)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationTexas Tech University (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsJohn Rice Carter is a Republican member of the U.S. House representing Texas's 31st congressional district (first elected in 2002, serving since 2003). Before Congress, he worked as an attorney and served as a District Judge in Williamson County, Texas (277th District Court). He earned a B.A. from Texas Tech University and a J.D. from The University of Texas School of Law. He is married to Erika Carter and they have four children.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for individuals and small businesses, has backed repeal or reduction of estate (death) taxes and measures to retain lower rates on capital gains and dividends, and frames tax cuts as a way to spur economic growth and lower costs for consumers. Voting and public statements show consistent support for Republican tax-cutting proposals and opposition to tax increases.

Healthcare

Opposes the Affordable Care Act and has supported legislation to repeal or replace it; backed the 2017 American Health Care Act and cosponsored the Keep Your Health Plan Act. Emphasizes patient choice, tort reform, and market-oriented changes while supporting coverage for people with preexisting conditions. Has sponsored and secured federal funding for local health and mental-health programs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strengthening border security through physical barriers, increased Border Patrol/ICE staffing, expanded surveillance and technology, and tougher enforcement measures including laws to penalize reentry and limit sanctuary policies. Advocates E-Verify and other employer verification to discourage illegal immigration and has opposed using military bases to house migrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports significant restrictions on abortion, including bans on most abortions after around 20 weeks and prohibiting federal funding for abortion; has supported criminal penalties for certain abortion-related conduct and co-sponsored legislation limiting abortion access. Voting and sponsorship history reflects a pro-life stance with some exceptions in legislative language.

Climate & Energy

Opposes regulation of greenhouse gases and federal mandates for renewable energy, and advocates for prioritizing domestic fossil fuel production and energy independence. Has sponsored and supported legislation to limit EPA authority over greenhouse gases and to protect and expand domestic oil and gas development.

Public Safety & Guns

John Carter consistently supports expansive Second Amendment rights and opposes major new federal gun restrictions. He has a history of votes and public statements defending gun manufacturers' legal protections, opposing bans and new private-transfer criminalization, and has received high ratings and endorsement from pro-gun organizations.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

John Carter is in the news because he won the Republican primary in Texas’s 31st congressional district, while the Democratic primary there is still unfolding. The latest coverage does not report a new major development about Carter himself beyond that primary result. Most of the other recent Texas election stories focus on Senate and other House races, not Carter directly.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.1M
$709.5K
$354.8K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.3M
$411.5K
$1.1M
$47.0K

Cycle 2024

$1.2M
$41.4K
$1.6M
$66.2K

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$170.8K
$1.3M
$71.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements