Prediction Edge
Republican
John Deaton

John Deaton

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

John Deaton is trading at 100% to win the Massachusetts Republican Senate nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

GenderMale

LocationMassachusetts

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationEastern Michigan University (magna cum laude)

Notable personal detailsJohn E. Deaton is a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts and a trial attorney known for work involving asbestos/mesothelioma cases and cryptocurrency-related advocacy. He served in the U.S. Marine Corps as a judge advocate and was medically retired following a non-combat injury. He founded the Deaton Law Firm and has also led the CryptoLaw platform focused on digital-asset legal and regulatory developments.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting federal spending and "Washington waste," balancing the budget, opposing large green energy mandates, and lowering costs without raising taxes. Favors deregulation and policies intended to reduce energy and housing costs rather than expanding government programs or increasing taxes.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and preserving Affordable Care Act measures (including extending/expanding premium tax credits and raising cost-sharing reduction eligibility), banning use of medical debt in credit scoring, lowering prescription drug costs and increasing price transparency while opposing large expansions of federal bureaucracy. Seeks bipartisan, incremental reforms to expand access and affordability rather than single‑payer approaches.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the southern border and tighter enforcement measures (end catch-and-release, reinstate policies keeping asylum seekers in Mexico) while also saying he favors expanding legal immigration and opposes mass deportations. Describes the migrant situation in Massachusetts as a crisis and has said he would have supported recent bipartisan border-restriction legislation as a first step.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal access to abortion and would back a federal law overturning the Dobbs decision to restore Roe-era protections while opposing late‑term abortion except for fetal anomalies or maternal health; also supports parental involvement when the pregnant person is a minor.

Climate & Energy

Supports acknowledging climate change while opposing the Green New Deal and aggressive mandates; favors a balanced, market-friendly energy transition that promotes renewables and innovation without heavy economic burdens on workers and businesses.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports Massachusetts’ existing gun laws and expresses skepticism about federal assault-weapons bans, while emphasizing support for law enforcement. Endorsed by a regional police union and frames gun policy with respect for the Second Amendment and public safety.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

John Deaton is in the news as the Republican candidate in the Massachusetts Senate race, where recent polling shows him trailing the Democratic contenders in hypothetical matchups. He has been appearing in campaign forums and debates, including a Project Bread event on food insecurity and a debate with Seth Moulton. The race is still active ahead of the September primary, with Ed Markey leading the Democratic field and expected to be the main general-election opponent if he wins the nomination.

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Latest Polls

Massachusetts Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
28.3%
John Deaton
J. Deaton
Date (Start - End)SpreadDeaton
Polling Average
28.3%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterAug 20 - 24
30.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterAug 20 - 24
25.0%
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovAug 5 - 12
25.0%
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovAug 5 - 12
30.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
34.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
30.0%
Suffolk UniversityJun 8 - 12
26.2%
Suffolk UniversityJun 8 - 12
29.8%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterApr 16 - 20
32.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterApr 16 - 20
25.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
27.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
23.0%
CygnalJan 22 - 25
30.0%
Suffolk UniversityNov 19 - 23
28.6%
Suffolk UniversityNov 19 - 23
31.2%
SurveyUSAFeb 28 - Mar 4
26.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$561.1K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$48.3K
$2.2M
$91.5K

Cycle 2026

$38.22
$0.00
$48.4K
$12.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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