Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
25.2%
27.2%
27.1%
5.5%
Republican
Trump Endorsed
Trump EndorsedJohn Fleming
Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Louisiana
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Trump EndorsedJohn Fleming
Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Louisiana
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?
$1.7M
JUN 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
John Fleming is trading at 0% to win the Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleTreasurer
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
Age75 years old (Jul 5, 1951)
GenderMale
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LocationLouisiana
BackgroundPolitician
EducationB.S., University of Mississippi (1973)
Notable personal detailsJohn Calvin Fleming Jr. is an American politician, physician, and U.S. Navy veteran who has served as Louisiana State Treasurer since January 8, 2024. He previously represented Louisiana’s 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2009 to 2017 and also served as Webster Parish coroner from 1996 to 2000. After leaving Congress, he held multiple appointed roles in the Trump administration, including Deputy Assistant Secretary at HHS, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Economic Development, and Deputy Chief of Staff to President Trump.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govtreasury.la.govfec.govgovinfo.govwikidata.orgen.wikipedia.orgdocquery.fec.govfr.wikipedia.orgthecandidate.comde.wikipedia.orgcommons.wikimedia.orgeap.ethics.la.govsfofexposed.orgsos.la.govmultistate.usivoterguide.comrepmyblock.orgflemingsenatecampaign.comreddit.comkplctv.comwafb.comyahoo.comcongress.govbeckershospitalreview.comfiercehealthcare.comthehayride.combreitbart.comstylemagazine.comncronline.orgontheissues.orgklfy.comnews.yahoo.comkalb.comlegistorm.comapnews.comlouisianavoice.compolitico.comlailluminator.comfacebook.comthecentersquare.comfox8live.comknoe.comnola.comshreveporttimes.comnytimes.comnbcnews.comlafourchegazette.comthehill.compelicanpostonline.commshale.comnewsmax.comabcnews.comnationaljournal.comdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgdata.ballotpedia.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgupload.wikimedia.orgballotready.orgncsl.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports eliminating personal income tax in Louisiana, opposes federal tax credits/subsidies such as 45Q for carbon capture, and emphasizes cutting government spending and limiting taxpayer-funded programs. Advocates reducing taxes and rolling back tax incentives he views as cronyism.
Healthcare
Supports repeal of the Affordable Care Act and legislative alternatives that would replace ACA provisions; has described the ACA as not fixable and opposed expansions of government-run healthcare. Advocates market-oriented reforms and policies reducing regulatory burdens on providers, including promoting health IT interoperability and pay-for-value approaches.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border security and enforcement, opposes executive amnesty and sanctuary-city policies, and has called for accountability for Department of Homeland Security leadership over perceived failures at the southern border. Has backed legislation to withhold federal funds from sanctuary jurisdictions and criticized policies that would regularize large numbers of undocumented immigrants.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate opposes abortion and has supported federal restrictions and conscience protections for health-care providers; he has cosponsored legislation declaring life begins at fertilization and voted to prohibit federal funding for abortion and Planned Parenthood.
Climate & Energy
Opposes carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) projects and federal tax credits that support them (45Q), arguing they are dangerous, a misuse of taxpayer money, and can create eminent domain issues for landowners. Positions prioritize property rights and reduced federal subsidies for CCS while criticizing what he describes as cronyism in climate-related subsidies.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports strong Second Amendment protections and has a long record of sponsoring and passing pro-gun-rights legislation while opposing additional federal gun restrictions. Holds high ratings from major gun-rights groups and emphasizes defending lawful gun owners' rights.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026
John Fleming was defeated by Julia Letlow in the Louisiana Republican Senate runoff, ending his bid for the GOP nomination. He had advanced to the runoff after finishing second in the first round, and the race drew attention because Trump’s endorsement and low turnout made it competitive. During the campaign, Fleming also faced criticism over an AI-generated video mocking Letlow.
history.house.gov+60
Articles
APAmerican Press2 months ago
Letlow wins Republican primary for Senate seat
Negative
CNCBS News2 months ago
Letlow, Fleming face off for Cassidy's seat in Louisiana GOP Senate runoff
Negative
NNNBC News2 months ago
Trump’s endorsement faces another test in Louisiana Senate primary runoff
Neutral
WWBRZ2 months ago
Political analyst expects tight race for Senate runoff
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
John Fleming currently averages 25.2%, ranking third in this race, 1.9 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 25.2%Position: thirdMargin: -1.9 ptsLatest poll: 29.6% (May 6 - 7)Polls included: 32
Average recalculated from polls through May 6 - 7.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
2Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$12.3M
$9.2M
$6.1M
$3.1M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$0.00
$57.77
$15.00
$0.63
Cycle 2024
$36.3K
$18.9K
$17.4K
$726.93
Cycle 2026
$12.3M
$40.3K
$12.2M
$680.3K
Source: FEC