Prediction Edge
High Impact22d
John Larson

John Larson

37%30%

Larson’s market fell from about 67%-68% to 30% in the last day, following Luke Bronin’s convention win and a fresh wave of endorsements. That keeps the CT-01 Democratic primary highly tradable and suggests the market is repricing Larson as a clear underdog.

Democrat
John Larson

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age77 years old (Jul 22, 1948)

GenderMale

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LocationConnecticut

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationCentral Connecticut State University (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsJohn Barry Larson is a U.S. Representative for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District, first elected to Congress in 1998 and serving since 1999. Before Congress, he served in the Connecticut State Senate and was Senate President pro tempore (1987–1995). He previously worked as a high school history teacher and coach, and has been active in Democratic politics in Connecticut for decades.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports measures that protect middle-class taxpayers and oppose large tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy and corporations, while backing tax credits and program expansions that aid families and workers. Serves on the House Ways and Means Committee and has sponsored or supported amendments and legislation intended to shield middle-income taxpayers and extend targeted tax relief (for example, ACA premium tax credits and child-related supports).

Healthcare

Supports expanding public coverage through a Medicare-based public option (described as “Medicare for All Who Want It”) and policies to increase access and affordability rather than eliminating private insurance. Advocates targeted measures such as protections for people with preexisting conditions and efforts to reduce drug costs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for immigrants and asylum access while backing bipartisan reforms and oversight of immigration enforcement; opposes racial profiling and ICE actions near polling places and has supported resettlement for vulnerable allies. Positions combine humanitarian protections with support for negotiated/enforcement reforms.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and restoring nationwide access to abortion and reproductive health care, including sponsoring federal legislation to codify abortion rights and guarantee abortion services through federal programs. Frames reproductive rights as fundamental health care and has introduced/co-sponsored bills to restore Roe-era protections and ensure abortion access for veterans.

Climate & Energy

Supports addressing climate change through clean-energy investment, industry transition policies, and market-based measures such as carbon pricing; advocates for fuel-cell and hydrogen technology and federal funding for renewable energy and infrastructure. Endorses climate solutions and modernizing the economy while reducing emissions rather than rejecting transitional fossil-fuel use outright.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports enhanced background checks, closing background-check loopholes, state red flag laws/funding, and restrictions on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines; has sponsored/advocated for legislation to limit access to assault weapons and related financing. Has voted in favor of federal background-check legislation.

Latest Insights

CT-01 Democratic nominee?

22dHigh Impact

Larson’s market fell from about 67%-68% to 30% in the last day, following Luke Bronin’s convention win and a fresh wave of endorsements. That keeps the CT-01 Democratic primary highly tradable and suggests the market is repricing Larson as a clear underdog.

30%37%

CT-01 Democratic nominee?

20d

Larson’s CT-01 primary odds have bounced back from the mid-30s to about 50% even after Luke Bronin’s convention win, keeping the market in a volatile two-way repricing that traders may want to monitor for another leader flip.

50%14%

CT-01 Democratic nominee?

21d

The latest poll has John Larson ahead by 26.0 points, but Luke Bronin is leading the odds for the Connecticut-01 Democratic nomination.

49%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

John Larson is in the news because he is facing a Democratic primary challenge in Connecticut's 1st Congressional District. Recent coverage says Luke Bronin won the party endorsement and is being presented as the change candidate, while Larson is being backed by supporters who point to his record on labor, healthcare, transportation, and Social Security. The race is still active, and the reports do not give any final election result or polling data.

fec.gov+34

Polls

Global Strategy Group
40%30%20%10%0%
30%
John Larson
J. Larson
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Global Strategy GroupMay 21, 2026
30.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$988.5K
$494.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.8M
$364.5K
$1.9M
$78.9K

Cycle 2024

$1.5M
$248.7K
$1.7M
$69.1K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$1.0M
$1.2M
$74.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements