Prediction Edge
Democrat
John Larson

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age77 years old (Jul 22, 1948)

GenderMale

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LocationConnecticut

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationCentral Connecticut State University (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsJohn Barry Larson is a U.S. Representative for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District, first elected to Congress in 1998 and serving since 1999. Before Congress, he served in the Connecticut State Senate and was Senate President pro tempore (1987–1995). He previously worked as a high school history teacher and coach, and has been active in Democratic politics in Connecticut for decades.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports measures that protect middle-class taxpayers and oppose large tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy and corporations, while backing tax credits and program expansions that aid families and workers. Serves on the House Ways and Means Committee and has sponsored or supported amendments and legislation intended to shield middle-income taxpayers and extend targeted tax relief (for example, ACA premium tax credits and child-related supports).

Healthcare

Supports expanding public coverage through a Medicare-based public option (described as “Medicare for All Who Want It”) and policies to increase access and affordability rather than eliminating private insurance. Advocates targeted measures such as protections for people with preexisting conditions and efforts to reduce drug costs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for immigrants and asylum access while backing bipartisan reforms and oversight of immigration enforcement; opposes racial profiling and ICE actions near polling places and has supported resettlement for vulnerable allies. Positions combine humanitarian protections with support for negotiated/enforcement reforms.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and restoring nationwide access to abortion and reproductive health care, including sponsoring federal legislation to codify abortion rights and guarantee abortion services through federal programs. Frames reproductive rights as fundamental health care and has introduced/co-sponsored bills to restore Roe-era protections and ensure abortion access for veterans.

Climate & Energy

Supports addressing climate change through clean-energy investment, industry transition policies, and market-based measures such as carbon pricing; advocates for fuel-cell and hydrogen technology and federal funding for renewable energy and infrastructure. Endorses climate solutions and modernizing the economy while reducing emissions rather than rejecting transitional fossil-fuel use outright.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports enhanced background checks, closing background-check loopholes, state red flag laws/funding, and restrictions on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines; has sponsored/advocated for legislation to limit access to assault weapons and related financing. Has voted in favor of federal background-check legislation.

Latest Insights

CT-01 Democratic nominee?

3d

John Larson's odds are now 23%, past the previous low of 40%.

23%17%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 4, 2026

John Larson is in the news because his Connecticut 1st District Democratic primary race has become more competitive ahead of the August 11 vote. He has stepped up attacks on Luke Bronin, while union leaders are backing Larson and criticizing Bronin on labor and fundraising. The race has now expanded to four candidates after Ruth Fortune qualified for the ballot. Larson has also received a local Democratic endorsement highlighting his record on labor, healthcare, transportation, and Social Security.

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Polls

Global Strategy Group
40%30%20%10%0%
30%
John Larson
J. Larson
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Global Strategy GroupMay 21, 2026
30.0%
GQRFeb 1, 2026
49.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

CT-01 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of John Larson for CT-01 Democratic nominee?

Former CT mayors and first selectmen

Public endorsement

Former Connecticut mayors and first selectmen endorsed John Larson for another term.

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Labor unions and current/former elected officials

Public endorsement

Labor unions and current/former elected officials endorsed John Larson for Connecticut's First Congressional District.

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Working Families Party

Public figure

The Working Families Party endorsed John Larson.

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Rep. Jamie Raskin

Public endorsement

Rep. Jamie Raskin endorsed John Larson.

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U.S. Sen. Richard Blumenthal

Political organization

U.S. Sen. Richard Blumenthal endorsed John Larson's re-election campaign.

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Chris Murphy

Public figure

Chris Murphy endorsed John Larson in the CT-1 race.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$988.5K
$494.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.8M
$364.5K
$1.9M
$78.9K

Cycle 2024

$1.5M
$248.7K
$1.7M
$69.1K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$1.0M
$1.2M
$74.9K

Source: FEC