Prediction Edge
Republican
John Mills

John Mills

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Alabama

Live Odds — AL-01 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$52.2KAUG 12, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 12, 2026

John Mills is in the news because he is a candidate in Alabama’s special congressional primaries held under new redrawn House maps. The biggest recent development is that turnout has been very low in these contests, with statewide participation reported at 4.5%. The primaries are part of a broader redistricting fight tied to control of the U.S. House, and the new format means the top vote-getter wins outright without a runoff.

fec.gov+51

Latest Polls

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

John Mills currently averages 0.5%, ranking 6th in this race, 1.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 0.5%Position: 6thMargin: -1.0 ptsLatest poll: 0.0% (Apr 20 - 22)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Apr 20 - 22.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
31.5%
14.5%
John Mills
J. Mills
Jerry Carl
J. Carl
Rhett Marques
R. Marques
Joshua McKee
J. McKee
Austin Sidwell
A. Sidwell
James Dees
J. Dees
James Richardson
J. Richardson
Date (Start - End)SpreadMillsCarlMarquesMcKeeSidwellDeesRichardson
Polling Average
Carl+31.0
0.5%31.5%14.5%4.0%2.5%1.5%0.5%
PI PollingApr 20 - 22
Marques+22.0
0.0%20.0%22.0%6.0%4.0%1.0%1.0%
AM Research GroupJan 31 - Feb 2
Carl+42.0
1.0%43.0%7.0%2.0%1.0%2.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$18.3K
$13.7K
$9.1K
$4.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$18.3K
$5.1K
$15.2K
$800.32

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Positions
  • Endorsements