Pulse Decision Science
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47%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
TX-38 House winner?
No verified final result is available for the selected contract.
Settlement pending
Republican
Jon Bonck
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas
$13.8K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — TX-38 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
96.9%chance to win
$13.8KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleMortgage banker
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
LocationTexas
BackgroundMortgage banker
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EducationLouisiana State University (attended, 2005–2009)
Notable personal detailsJon Bonck is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’ 38th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is a mortgage banker/leader in the Greater Houston area and has worked in real estate and mortgage lending. He has described himself publicly as a Christian, husband, and father.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govjonbonck.comtexastribune.orgnrcc.orglinkedin.comvote-usa.orgkalshi.comdocquery.fec.govefoservices.fec.govlegis1.comcapitolhillaccess.comdisclosures-clerk.house.govuh.educookpolitical.comclubforgrowth.orgcongress.goven.wikipedia.orgreddit.comarxiv.orgcommunityimpact.comtwstalker.comballotready.orghoustonchronicle.comrnrenewal.orgainvest.comjohnlocke.orgwaysandmeans.house.govdisruptingtaxes.orgfoxbusiness.comjec.senate.govitrfoundation.orgtcoinc.comjohnhcochrane.blogspot.comjonestaxesonline.combrookings.eduinkl.comtaxfoundation.orgthetexan.newsx.comhoustonpublicmedia.orgcrossroadstoday.comksat.comfacebook.comballotpedia.orgnews.ballotpedia.orgvotesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports cutting government spending, reducing regulations and eliminating red tape to lower costs for families and help small businesses; favors policies to cut taxes and protect taxpayers. Emphasizes reforming outdated policies to promote economic growth and homeownership.
Healthcare
Opposes vaccine mandates and promotes “medical freedom” (explicitly listing “No mandates. No coercion. No mRNA vaccines”); emphasizes limited government and spending cuts more broadly but does not present an expansionary health‑care plan on the campaign site.
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Immigration & Border
Advocates enforcement-first border policy, calling to finish construction of a border wall, to "end the invasion," and to prioritize Texas in border security efforts.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate states that life begins at conception and calls for no compromise on protecting life, indicating a strongly pro‑life stance opposing abortion access.
Climate & Energy
The candidate emphasizes conservative energy priorities focused on American energy dominance and energy independence and frames energy as an economic/sovereignty priority rather than advocating aggressive emissions regulations or Green New Deal–style policies. Public campaign materials and endorsements position him with mainstream Republican energy themes such as unleashing U.S. energy production and cutting red tape. There is no campaign evidence found supporting ambitious greenhouse‑gas targets or large federal clean‑energy transition programs.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports the Second Amendment and frames gun rights as protected from federal interference, emphasizing protection of the right to keep and bear arms while positioning as a conservative who backs law-and-order allies. No explicit support for expanded background checks, assault-weapons bans, or red flag laws was found in campaign materials reviewed.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Jon Bonck won the Republican runoff in Texas’s 38th Congressional District and will move on to the November general election against Democrat Melissa McDonough. The race is for an open seat after Rep. Wesley Hunt decided not to seek reelection. Recent coverage mainly focuses on the runoff results and the broader Texas primary and runoff elections.
fec.gov+46
Articles
FNFox News5 months ago
Trump-backed candidate wins Texas runoff to claim GOP seat given up by Wesley Hunt
Positive
WWTOP6 months ago
Editorial Roundup: United States
Neutral
CCoinDesk5 months ago
Crypto cash backs potential new allies in Congress as industry's PAC presence widens
Neutral
UTUSA TODAY5 months ago
Texas 2026 November general election candidates by race
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.1M
$762.2K
$381.1K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.5M
$299.6K
$1.2M
$72.0K
Source: FEC
Not available in this saved edition
These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.
- Endorsements