Prediction Edge
Republican
Jon Hansen

Jon Hansen

Republican candidate for Governor in South Dakota

Live Odds — South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$1.8MJUL 29, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age40 years old (Dec 30, 1985)

GenderMale

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LocationSouth Dakota

BackgroundAttorney

EducationSoutheast Technical Institute — Associate's, Business Administration

Notable personal detailsJon Hansen is an American attorney and Republican politician in South Dakota. He represents the 25th District in the South Dakota House of Representatives and has served as Speaker of the House since 2025. He has a business background and earned a J.D. from the University of South Dakota School of Law. In 2026 he ran for the Republican nomination for Governor of South Dakota with Karla Lems as his running mate.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Jon Hansen advocates for lower taxes, including substantial reductions in property taxes, opposes corporate welfare and supports lower regulation and free-market solutions. He emphasizes fiscal restraint and replacing tax revenue reductions with spending reforms rather than new taxes.

Healthcare

The candidate has supported measures to restrict or add limits to Medicaid expansion in South Dakota and has described such measures as protecting taxpayers; no evidence was found that he supports major public expansions like Medicare for All or a public option.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jon Hansen opposes abortion and has a long record of sponsoring and supporting legislation to restrict abortion access. He is a leader with South Dakota Right to Life, co-founded the anti-abortion Life Defense Fund, and has supported measures aimed at blocking or reversing abortion-rights initiatives in the state. His legislative actions have included bills and resolutions that seek criminal penalties and stricter limits on abortion-related activity.

Climate & Energy

Prioritizes property rights and has opposed use of eminent domain for carbon dioxide pipeline projects; emphasizes preserving family farms and state heritage while advancing conservative energy and economic policies. Policy activity focuses on limiting government authority over land and opposing large carbon pipeline projects rather than endorsing aggressive emissions regulations or Green New Deal–style measures.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports robust Second Amendment protections, including permitless/concealed-carry policies and opposition to new firearm restrictions. The candidate has received high ratings/endorsements from pro-gun groups and frames gun rights as part of preserving individual freedoms and public safety.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Jon Hansen is in the news because South Dakota’s Republican governor primary went to a runoff after no candidate cleared the 35% threshold, and he was one of the candidates competing for the second runoff spot. In the weeks before the vote, his campaign had been gaining momentum, with one poll showing him at 18%, up from 2% when he entered the race. Coverage also highlighted his campaign focus on abortion, property taxes, spending cuts, and opposition to special tax breaks for large companies.

sdlegislature.gov+47

Latest Polls

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Jon Hansen currently averages 13.1%, ranking 4th in this race, 5.4 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 13.1%Position: 4thMargin: -5.4 ptsLatest poll: 14.1% (May 26 - 27)Polls included: 9

Average recalculated from polls through May 26 - 27.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
13.1%
27.4%
24.7%
18.4%
Jon Hansen
J. Hansen
Dusty Johnson
D. Johnson
Larry Rhoden
L. Rhoden
Toby Doeden
T. Doeden
Date (Start - End)SpreadHansenJohnsonRhodenDoeden
Polling Average
Johnson+14.4
13.1%27.4%24.7%18.4%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 26 - 27
Rhoden+18.5
14.1%26.4%32.6%23.6%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 26 - 27
Rhoden+19.2
13.2%27.2%32.4%24.0%
Meeting Street InsightsMay 18 - 20
Rhoden+2.0
21.0%19.0%23.0%22.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 18 - 19
Doeden+10.3
16.0%23.3%19.0%26.3%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 7 - 11
Johnson+16.2
17.8%34.0%17.0%17.4%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Johnson+14.5
13.6%28.1%16.6%17.6%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5
Johnson+23.0
10.0%33.0%28.0%16.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyOct 16 - 20
Johnson+18.0
10.0%28.0%27.0%15.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 9 - 11
Johnson+26.0
2.0%28.0%27.0%4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising