Prediction Edge
Republican
Jonathan Bush

Overview

Current roleHealthcare executive

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMaine

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BackgroundHealthcare executive

Notable personal detailsJonathan S. Bush is a healthcare technology entrepreneur and Republican candidate for Governor of Maine. He co-founded athenahealth and led the company as CEO before stepping down in 2018. He has lived in Cape Elizabeth, Maine and has been involved in Maine-focused business and nonprofit efforts, including a podcast and a nonprofit initiative focused on the state’s economic challenges. He launched his 2026 gubernatorial campaign in October 2025.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate proposes a major immediate tax cut for Maine (a $1 billion reduction in state taxes), aims to lower the overall tax burden, and prioritizes cutting regulations and auditing state government to reduce spending and promote business growth. His platform emphasizes deregulation to spur housing and business development and reducing government role to increase private-sector activity.

Healthcare

The candidate supports reducing MaineCare enrollment and rolling back government-covered healthcare, and emphasizes market-driven reforms based on his healthcare-industry background. He has criticized broad Medicaid expansion and proposed audits/changes to state spending that include healthcare programs.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has expressed support for enforcing existing immigration laws and framed enforcement as a way to appeal to voters; his public remarks emphasize stronger enforcement rather than expanded asylum access or legalization measures. There are no detailed policy proposals on his campaign site specifying pathways to citizenship or humanitarian reforms.

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports expanding access to natural gas to lower energy costs and intends to pursue legal action to overcome regional pipeline blockades; his campaign emphasizes reducing energy costs and cutting regulation rather than aggressive emissions controls. His public materials prioritize economic growth, energy affordability, and increased fossil fuel infrastructure access.

Latest Insights

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

1d

Bush’s price jumped from near 0% to 8.5% in the last hour while results moved into ranked-choice tabulation, making him a live second-place trade despite Charles still leading.

3%6%

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

25d

Bush is still trading at 21% with no intraday change, but recent Maine Public and Bangor Daily News coverage shows he remains central to the ranked-choice alliance fight ahead of the June 9 primary. That keeps him a live second-tier contender, even if the latest tape is more confirmation than new catalyst.

21%0%

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

25d

Bush is still trading at 21% in the Maine Republican governor market after fresh post-debate reporting, keeping him a live second-tier contender in a crowded primary where ranked-choice alliances could still matter.

21%0%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Jonathan Bush is in the middle of Maine’s Republican governor primary, where early vote counts put him in second place behind Bobby Charles. Final results may not be settled until ranked-choice tabulation is completed next week. Bush has also been a major fundraiser in the race, reporting about $845,000 raised and leading Republican ad spending. He has been campaigning as one of the main contenders in a crowded field ahead of the June 9 primary.

jonathanbush.org+37

Polls

Maine Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
17.2%
38.6%
23%
10.4%
9.0%
Jonathan Bush
J. Bush
Robert Charles
R. Charles
Shawn Moody
S. Moody
G. Mason
Ben Midgley
B. Midgley
David Jones
D. Jones
Owen McCarthy
O. McCarthy
Robert Wessels
R. Wessels
James Libby
J. Libby
Date (Start - End)SpreadBushCharlesMoodyMasonMidgleyJonesMcCarthyWesselsLibby
Polling Average
Charles+21.3
17.2%38.6%23.0%10.4%9.0%4.2%4.2%3.2%1.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+17.0
17.0%34.0%10.0%10.0%2.0%7.0%2.0%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+19.0
23.0%42.0%13.0%13.0%9.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+18.0
26.0%44.0%14.0%16.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+20.0
31.0%51.0%18.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Charles+19.0
18.0%37.0%9.0%11.0%7.0%2.0%6.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18
Charles+16.0
20.0%36.0%13.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%1.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesApr 28 - 30
Charles+36.0
11.0%47.0%11.0%5.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Charles+23.0
5.0%28.0%12.0%6.0%7.0%1.0%4.0%2.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 23 - 25
Charles+24.0
4.0%28.0%23.0%1.0%0.3%2.0%2.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising