Prediction Edge
Democrat
Jonathan Nez

Jonathan Nez

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds — AZ-02 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

28%chance to win

$11.5KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitician

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age51 years old (May 26, 1975)

GenderMale

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LocationArizona

BackgroundPolitician

EducationNorthland Pioneer College (attended)

Notable personal detailsJonathan Nez is a Navajo politician who served as the 9th President of the Navajo Nation (2019–2023), after previously serving as Vice President of the Navajo Nation and as a Navajo Nation Council delegate. He was born in Tuba City, Arizona, and raised in Shonto, Arizona. Nez has run for the U.S. House in Arizona's 2nd congressional district.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Jonathan Nez’s campaign emphasizes lowering costs for working families, including child care, housing, groceries, and health care. He has also criticized tax cuts for billionaires and backed extending Affordable Care Act tax credits that reduce coverage costs for consumers.

Healthcare

Jonathan Nez’s campaign emphasizes protecting health care access and lowering health care costs for rural Arizonans. His public statements oppose Medicaid cuts and support keeping Affordable Care Act tax credits in place to avoid higher insurance premiums and hospital closures.

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Immigration & Border

Jonathan Nez supports comprehensive immigration reform that pairs border security investments with a fair pathway to citizenship. He has also opposed construction of a wall through tribal land along the U.S.-Mexico border.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jonathan Nez has publicly framed the right to choose as individual sovereignty and emphasized that people should make decisions about their own bodies. His campaign has also been described as supportive of reproductive rights.

Climate & Energy

Jonathan Nez has supported transitioning toward renewable energy and has framed climate change as a real threat to Arizona, with drought, wildfires, and rising temperatures worsening. He has also stressed that any transition away from fossil fuels should be carefully planned and should protect jobs and economic stability for Navajo and rural communities.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Jonathan Nez is back in the news as the Democrat set for a rematch against Republican incumbent Eli Crane in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District race. Both candidates advanced through uncontested primaries, setting up another competitive House contest. Nez lost to Crane by 9 points in 2024, and the district is expected to be closely watched again because of its large Native American population and recent Republican edge.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

GBAO
50%40%30%20%10%0%
41%
Jonathan Nez
J. Nez
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
GBAOJun 15, 2026
41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

8
AZ-02 House winner?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.5M
$4.1M
$2.8M
$1.4M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$5.5M
$65.2K
$5.5M
$227.4K

Cycle 2026

$3.5M
$1.9M
$1.7M
$88.1K

Source: FEC