Prediction Edge
Democrat
Jonathan Treble

Jonathan Treble

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds — AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$225.5KJUL 22, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleBusinessman

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationArizona

BackgroundBusinessman

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EducationUniversity of Pennsylvania

Notable personal detailsJonathan Treble is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Arizona's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is the founder of WithMe, a smart amenities company, and describes himself as a first-generation college graduate and a public school parent. His campaign platform highlights healthcare reform, anti-corruption measures, voting rights, climate and clean energy, and immigration reforms.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reversing recent tax cuts for the wealthiest, wants billionaires to pay a fairer share, and proposes restoring or expanding funding for social programs while protecting Social Security and Medicaid. Emphasizes using government policy to lower costs and invest in job creation and clean energy incentives.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and expanding the Affordable Care Act, protecting Medicaid and coverage for preexisting conditions, and expanding access to affordable, quality care while preserving private options. Advocates restoring Medicaid funding, lowering premiums, investing in mental health and rural clinics, and broader access for Arizonans.

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Immigration & Border

Supports modernizing legal immigration and protecting Dreamers while also calling for a secure border and investment in smart border technology; opposes cruel or inhumane policies. Advocates a functional, humane process that balances security needs with economic and humanitarian considerations.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting and expanding reproductive healthcare access, including abortion, contraception, and IVF; he advocates restoring the protections of Roe v. Wade nationwide and passing federal safeguards for reproductive healthcare.

Climate & Energy

Supports restoring and expanding federal clean-energy investments and programs (including the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund and Methane Emissions Reduction Program), rejects fossil-fuel campaign money, and prioritizes clean energy, conservation, and protection of water, air, and public lands while recognizing transitional needs for development.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJan 20, 2026

Jonathan Treble is mentioned only in the context of broader Democratic Party election strategy. The DNC has launched a voter registration initiative after a reported net loss of 2.1 million registered Democrats from 2020 to 2024, starting with pilot efforts in Arizona and Nevada aimed at younger and working-class voters. The move signals a shift toward direct party-led registration efforts ahead of 2026 House contests.

fec.gov+53

Latest Polls

AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

HighGround
40%30%20%10%0%
32.5%
11%
Jonathan Treble
J. Treble
Amish Shah
A. Shah
Marlene Galán-Woods
M. Galán-Woods
Mark Robert Gordon
M. Gordon
Rick McCartney
R. McCartney
Date (Start - End)SpreadTrebleShahGalán-WoodsGordonMcCartney
HighGroundFeb 21 - 23
Shah+31.0
1.5%32.5%11.0%1.8%1.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

3
AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$4.0M
$3.0M
$2.0M
$994.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$4.0M
$658.6K
$3.3M
$174.8K

Source: FEC