Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Joni Ernst

Joni Ernst

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age55 years old (Jul 1, 1970)

GenderFemale

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LocationIowa

BackgroundPolitician

EducationIowa State University (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsJoni Kay Ernst is a U.S. Senator from Iowa, first elected in 2014 and sworn in on January 3, 2015. She previously served as Montgomery County Auditor and as a member of the Iowa State Senate. Ernst served more than 23 years in the Iowa Army National Guard and U.S. Army Reserve, including a 2003 deployment as a company commander in Kuwait and Iraq during Operation Iraqi Freedom, and retired as a lieutenant colonel.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and protections for businesses (including making the 20% pass-through deduction permanent), advocates reducing federal spending and opposing Democratic tax increases, and sponsors legislation to limit IRS authority and hold IRS employees accountable for unpaid taxes. Her statements and bills emphasize lowering the tax burden on small businesses and cutting government inefficiency.

Healthcare

Supports repeal/replacement of the Affordable Care Act in favor of market-based reforms and increased choice rather than mandates; emphasizes protecting people with pre-existing conditions while replacing the ACA and advancing measures to lower costs through transparency and workforce increases. Has supported legislation to expand provider access for rural areas and defended proposals that would reduce Medicaid eligibility or spending as part of broader Republican reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strengthened border security and use of border wall materials, prioritizes detention and removal of illegal immigrants who commit serious crimes, and opposes policies she describes as ‘‘open borders.’' Advocates restricting certain benefits for those unlawfully present and pushing for increased enforcement measures rather than pathways to broad regularization.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate is pro-life and supports significant restrictions on abortion, including legislation banning abortion after about five months (20 weeks) and measures to prohibit federal funding for Planned Parenthood; she has supported the Life at Conception Act to recognize legal protection for unborn children. Her public statements and sponsored legislation emphasize restricting access and returning policymaking to elected officials and states.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy strategy emphasizing domestic energy production and energy independence, is a strong legislative defender of biofuels and the Renewable Fuel Standard, and opposes Green New Deal–style policies and aggressive federal climate mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment protections, opposes restrictive ATF rules and federal gun registries, and has sponsored legislation to protect lawful gun dealers and limit administrative enforcement. Emphasizes protecting lawful gun owners and dealers while criticizing Biden administration gun-policy actions.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMay 19, 2026

Joni Ernst is in the news because she is not seeking reelection, leaving Iowa’s 2026 U.S. Senate seat open and turning the race into a major battleground. Democrats Josh Turek and Zach Wahls are competing for their party’s nomination, while Republicans are backing Ashley Hinson as the likely nominee. Ernst has also drawn attention for endorsing Hinson and for her proposed Small Business Innovation Research changes, which were linked to a federal funding delay affecting a genetic disorder lab.

ernst.senate.gov+18

Polls

Public Policy Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45%
Joni Ernst
J. Ernst
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Public Policy PollingAug 19, 2025
45.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 19, 2025
45.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 19, 2025
43.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 19, 2025
45.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 19, 2025
43.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Endorsers of Joni Ernst for Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Tim Scott

Public figure

Tim Scott endorsed Joni Ernst and praised her service to Iowa.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.9M
$2.2M
$1.5M
$730.5K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.0M
$973.7K
$1.6M
$66.2K

Cycle 2024

$2.9M
$2.2M
$1.7M
$69.0K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$2.0M
$2.2M
$149.4K

Source: FEC