Prediction Edge

Live Odds — DE-AL Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$13.2KSEP 16, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleDebate instructor (Statesman Debate Institute)

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationDelaware

BackgroundDebate instructor (Statesman Debate Institute)

EducationMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) (graduate study; Ph.D. in Political Science)

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Notable personal detailsJoseph “Dr. Joe” Arminio is a Republican candidate for U.S. House of Representatives (Delaware at-large) in the 2026 election cycle. He is associated with the Statesman Debate Institute and has been described in local media as a senior instructor there. He has also been described publicly as the founder of the Coalition for America’s Resurgence and as an MIT graduate with a Ph.D. in political science.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The available record points to a low-tax, fiscally conservative posture. The candidate has opposed tax increases, called for reducing the tax burden, and emphasized shrinking government, reducing debt, and reviving the dollar. Recent public activity also centers on the debt crisis and related monetary issues.

Immigration & Border

Joseph Arminio has publicly supported stopping all illegal immigration and reducing legal immigration. His stated immigration position emphasizes border security and a restrictive approach to immigration overall.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Joseph Arminio said he wants to end public funding of abortion. No stronger publicly documented position on abortion access or gestational limits was found in the sources reviewed.

Climate & Energy

Joseph Arminio has publicly described global warming and climate change as fraudulent and has advanced a climate-skeptical position. He has also said he would fight for fair energy policies, framing energy mainly in terms of price relief rather than emissions reduction or clean-energy transition.

Public Safety & Guns

Joseph Arminio has publicly described himself as being for guns. His available public comment emphasizes gun rights and does not spell out support for specific gun-control measures.

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