Prediction Edge
Republican
Joseph Chaplik

Joseph Chaplik

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds — AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$114.4KJUL 22, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationArizona

BackgroundPolitician

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EducationBowling Green State University

Notable personal detailsJoseph Chaplik is a Republican politician and congressional candidate in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District. He previously served in the Arizona House of Representatives and has been involved in real estate and business leadership. He has been a candidate for U.S. House in the 2026 election cycle and filed required federal candidate disclosures.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significant tax reductions including abolishing the state income tax and reducing government spending; advocates limited government and pro-business policies. Has campaigned on keeping taxes low and has voted for large tax cuts in Arizona.

Healthcare

Joseph Chaplik has described support for "medical freedom" and said government should protect a woman’s right to receive the medical care she chooses; his campaign materials emphasize limited government and conservative priorities but do not set out a clear position on ACA expansion, a public option, Medicare for All, or specific market-based healthcare reforms. Chaplik has served on the Arizona House Health and Human Services Committee and sponsored legislation referencing consumer access to essentials (including medicine) but his materials do not provide a detailed healthcare policy platform

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Immigration & Border

Supports strong border enforcement measures including criminalizing unauthorized border crossings and construction of physical barriers; has sponsored state legislation to penalize illegal entry and voted to require state cooperation with immigration enforcement. Emphasizes stopping illegal immigration and enhancing border security through state-level measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports significant restrictions on abortion, voting for multiple bills that ban or limit abortion access (including a 15-week ban and limits on medication abortion) and stating abortion should be allowed only to protect the life of the mother.

Climate & Energy

Supports measures that protect or expand conventional energy options and restrict local bans on energy sources, and has voted for bills focused on utility and grid definitions and limits on geoengineering. Legislative record shows backing for state-level actions favoring energy industry protections and market/utility-focused approaches rather than aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Joseph Chaplik describes himself as a strong supporter of the Constitution and the Second Amendment and is endorsed by law‑enforcement groups; his legislative actions and statements emphasize backing police and public safety. Public materials and press releases show opposition to statements perceived as weakening use-of-force laws and emphasize protecting officers and constitutional gun rights. There is no clear evidence in these sources that he supports major new gun restrictions such as assault weapons bans or universal background checks.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 22, 2026

Joseph Chaplik is in the news because he is one of the Republicans running in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District primary, a competitive open-seat race. Recent reports say former NFL kicker Jay Feely is projected to win the GOP nomination, which would leave Chaplik out of the race for the party’s nomination. The district is expected to be a battleground in the November general election.

josephchaplik.com+48

Latest Polls

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
25.4%
Joseph Chaplik
J. Chaplik
Date (Start - End)SpreadChaplik
Polling Average
25.4%
NextGen PollingJun 16 - 17
23.1%
Advanced Targeting ResearchMay 12 - 13
29.0%
NextGen PollingApr 13 - 16
24.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

7
AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$605.0K
$453.7K
$302.5K
$151.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$605.0K
$129.5K
$475.5K
$25.0K

Source: FEC