Prediction Edge
Democrat
Joseph D. Morelle

Joseph D. Morelle

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Joseph D. Morelle is trading at 96% to win the NY-25 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age69 years old (Apr 29, 1957)

GenderMale

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LocationNew York

BackgroundPolitician

EducationState University of New York at Geneseo (B.A., 1986)

Notable personal detailsJoseph D. Morelle is a U.S. Representative from New York, representing New York’s 25th congressional district. He previously served in the New York State Assembly (1990–2018), including as Majority Leader, and earlier served on the Monroe County Legislature (1984–1990). He is a SUNY Geneseo graduate and entered Congress after winning a 2018 special election.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for middle-class families (including restoring or changing the SALT deduction cap) while opposing large tax cuts that primarily benefit millionaires and billionaires; endorses government spending on infrastructure and programs to support working families.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable healthcare and reducing costs through federal action such as lowering prescription drug prices, protecting and building on the Affordable Care Act, and consumer protections (for example, ending surprise medical billing). Does not endorse single-payer/Medicare for All in the cited materials and focuses on incremental federal reforms and program expansions.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a humane immigration system, opposes aggressive or abusive ICE and DHS actions, and has called for reinstating programs to resettle allies and protecting asylum/immigrant rights. Has voted against DHS funding in protest of ICE conduct and pressed for accountability and oversight of immigration enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying the right to reproductive care into federal law and opposes national abortion bans; advocates protecting access to abortion and reproductive health services. Endorsed by Planned Parenthood and has cosponsored legislation described as strengthening women’s reproductive health rights.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive federal action on climate, backing large clean-energy investments and legislative initiatives aimed at reducing carbon pollution and restoring a healthy climate for future generations. Has publicly endorsed Green New Deal–style priorities and joined congressional efforts to advance clean hydrogen, renewables, and climate-focused resolutions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports federal assault weapons ban, universal background checks, strengthening red flag/extreme risk laws, and other gun-safety measures while also calling for resources to enforce gun laws and curb trafficking.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 3, 2026

Joseph D. Morelle is in the news because he is facing a Democratic primary challenge in New York’s 25th Congressional District. Voters are set to choose the party nominee, and Morelle is running against Robin Wilt and Sherita S. Traywick. The coverage mainly focuses on the upcoming primary and his contested reelection bid.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$562.8K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.3M
$52.9K
$2.4M
$98.3K

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$380.2K
$1.8M
$76.1K

Cycle 2026

$1.8M
$408.0K
$1.8M
$97.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements