Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Josh Harder

Josh Harder

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Josh Harder is trading at 99% to win the CA-09 primary: first place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age40 years old (Aug 1, 1986)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationStanford University — B.A. (2008)

Notable personal detailsJoshua Keck Harder is a U.S. Representative from California and a member of the Democratic Party. He has represented California's 9th congressional district since 2023 and previously represented California's 10th district from 2019 to 2023. Harder earned a B.A. from Stanford University (2008) and completed an MBA and MPP at Harvard University (2014).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Representative Josh Harder’s official House site highlights cost‑of‑living priorities but does not set out a detailed, explicit federal tax plan; his recent roll call shows a vote against a proposed balanced‑budget constitutional amendment. Available public materials and campaign pages do not provide a clear, consistent stance on raising or cutting taxes at the federal level.

Healthcare

Josh Harder has cosponsored Medicare-for-All legislation and participated in the public rollout for the Medicare for All Act, endorsing a transition to a single-payer national health insurance program and saying he supports steps to address rising premiums, prescription drug costs, and expanded coverage. He has also indicated support for incremental measures (e.g., lowering drug prices) alongside backing comprehensive single-payer reform.

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Immigration & Border

Supports pathways to legal status for Dreamers and has cosponsored legislation providing a path to citizenship; frames border issues with humanitarian concerns and bipartisan problem-solving; advocates reforms to limit ICE practices (body cameras, bans on masked agents, limits on use of force) and has publicly criticized conditions at a local ICE facility.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Josh Harder supports legal access to abortion and has advocated for federal protections that would codify Roe-era rights. He supported the Women’s Health Protection Act, backed measures to protect interstate access to abortion, and endorsed California’s ballot measure to enshrine reproductive rights in the state constitution.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal climate and clean-energy measures including investments in clean energy, climate resilience (extreme heat relief and water reliability), and consumer protections related to energy utilities; advocates for permitting reforms intended to accelerate energy infrastructure while applying rules across technologies. Positions emphasize climate impacts and clean-energy investment while supporting transitional and market-oriented reforms to speed deployment.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports stronger gun-safety laws including expanded (universal) background checks, extreme-risk/red-flag laws, restrictions on assault weapons, regulation of ghost guns, and investments in community violence intervention programs. Has co-sponsored and backed federal legislation to broaden background checks and other gun-safety measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Josh Harder is in the news mainly because he was one of several California Democrats who voted for the House-passed Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026. He is also being discussed in broader campaign coverage as Democrats prepare for the 2026 midterms, including fights over issues like data centers and redistricting that could shape House races. The available reports do not show a single major new development specific to Harder beyond these campaign and voting updates.

history.house.gov+57

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$6.6M
$4.9M
$3.3M
$1.6M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$6.6M
$1.1M
$8.9M
$371.4K

Cycle 2024

$5.4M
$1.7M
$4.9M
$203.2K

Cycle 2026

$4.1M
$4.7M
$1.0M
$57.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements