Prediction Edge
Democrat
Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

Overview

Current roleGovernor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age53 years old (Jun 20, 1973)

GenderMale

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LocationPennsylvania

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Rochester

Notable personal detailsJoshua David Shapiro is an American politician and lawyer who has served as the 48th Governor of Pennsylvania since January 17, 2023. He previously served as Pennsylvania Attorney General (2017–2023), Chair of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners (2011–2017), and a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2005–2011). He earned his undergraduate degree from the University of Rochester and a J.D. from Georgetown University Law Center. He is married to Lori Shapiro and they have four children.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

As governor, Josh Shapiro has pursued a mix of tax policies: accelerating cuts to Pennsylvania’s corporate net income tax and cutting taxes for businesses and seniors, while also expanding refundable tax credits and creating a state Earned Income Tax Credit to provide relief for lower-income working families. His budgets include business-focused tax reductions combined with targeted tax credits and program investments rather than broad tax increases on high earners.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable health coverage and strengthening Medicaid and state programs rather than large-scale privatization or repeal; has signed laws and proposed state funding increases to improve access (telemedicine coverage, Medicaid funding, rural hospital support) and opposed federal Medicaid cuts. Focuses on expanding coverage and access through government programs and regulatory action rather than endorsing single‑payer proposals.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protecting DREAMers and recognizes the economic and social contributions of immigrants while opposing deployment of Pennsylvania National Guard troops to the southern border. Emphasizes the need for comprehensive federal immigration reform and maintains cooperation with federal authorities on public-safety cases, rejecting a sanctuary-state approach for Pennsylvania. Has condemned what he describes as federal overreach in aggressive immigration enforcement actions and signed proclamations marking Immigrant Heritage Month and World Refugee Day.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal access to abortion and reproductive health care in Pennsylvania, defends the availability of medication abortion including mifepristone, and has pledged to veto legislation that would ban or severely restrict abortion. Has directed administration actions to protect and expand access, including filing to challenge a Medicaid abortion-coverage ban and launching a state reproductive health resources website.

Climate & Energy

Supports state-led cap-and-invest to limit carbon emissions, increased renewable and clean-energy goals, and incentives for nuclear, hydrogen, battery storage and other low-emission technologies while allowing transitional uses of natural gas; emphasizes lowering consumer bills and job creation alongside emissions reductions.

Public Safety & Guns

Josh Shapiro supports expanding gun safety laws including universal/background checks, red flag (extreme risk) laws, regulation of ghost guns and restrictions on assault-style weapons while also funding violence-prevention programs and law enforcement resources. He has repeatedly called for closing background-check loopholes and has advocated passage of red flag legislation and measures to regulate ghost guns.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Josh Shapiro is in the news as he builds a national profile and signals he is looking toward a possible 2028 Democratic presidential run. At the same time, he is heading into the 2026 Pennsylvania governor’s race as a heavy favorite against Republican Stacy Garrity, with recent polling showing him well ahead. He has also been active in state and national politics, including endorsing a Democrat in a key House race and speaking out on party strategy and donor politics.

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Polls

Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
50%
Josh Shapiro
J. Shapiro
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchJun 14, 2026
50.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchMar 29, 2026
58.0%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchMar 1, 2026
48.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityFeb 23, 2026
55.0%
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 29, 2025
56.0%
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 29, 2025
55.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Endorsers of Josh Shapiro for 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Bob Harvie

Public figure

Bob Harvie endorsed Josh Shapiro in the Pennsylvania congressional primary context.

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Giffords PAC

Elected official

Giffords PAC endorsed Josh Shapiro for governor of Pennsylvania.

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Pennsylvania Democratic Party

Elected official

The Pennsylvania Democratic Party endorsed Josh Shapiro for reelection as governor.

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Pennsylvania labor leaders

Public endorsement

Pennsylvania labor leaders backed Josh Shapiro at his 2026 reelection announcement events.

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Pennsylvania local Democratic officials

Labor organization

Pennsylvania local Democratic officials backed Josh Shapiro at his 2026 reelection announcement events.

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Firefighter union leaders

Labor organization

Firefighter union leaders backed Josh Shapiro in a key congressional race.

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Bob Brooks

Public figure

Bob Brooks endorsed Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District race.

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Phil Weiser

Elected official

Phil Weiser endorsed Josh Shapiro for governor of Pennsylvania.

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Janelle Stelson

Public figure

Janelle Stelson endorsed Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania's 10th District race.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising