Prediction Edge
Democrat
Josh Smead

Josh Smead

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Missouri

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Josh Smead is trading at 100% to win the MO-06 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleArchitect

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationMissouri

BackgroundArchitect

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Notable personal detailsJosh Smead is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House representing Missouri's 6th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is an architect and small business owner based in Liberty, Missouri, and has lived in Missouri since 2017. He was born and raised in Harrisonburg, Virginia, and is a father of four.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports investing federal resources in rural infrastructure, healthcare, and small businesses while criticizing tax breaks and subsidies for billionaires and calling for policies that shift focus from the wealthy to the middle class. Favors protections for family farms and measures to level the playing field for workers and small businesses. Emphasizes strengthened unions and targeted public investment rather than cutting government programs.

Healthcare

The candidate supports expanded access to healthcare with targeted support for underserved and rural communities, strengthening residency programs for rural hospitals, and improving secure health data coordination to reduce delays and costs. The platform emphasizes ensuring emergency and basic care is within a one-hour drive and protecting local access to maternity and family healthcare.

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Immigration & Border

Supports immigration enforcement that is lawful, transparent, and centered on due process, and favors directing resources to courts rather than mass detention centers. Positions emphasize humanitarian treatment within enforcement while not outlining a full pathway-to-citizenship program on the campaign platform.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a person’s right to make their own reproductive health decisions and opposes government interference in those decisions. Describes belief that Missourians should have sovereignty over their bodies and that personal reproductive choices should not be made by politicians.

Climate & Energy

Supports acknowledging climate change and investing in resilience and energy infrastructure to keep power reliable and affordable for North Missouri, including backing projects like the Grain Belt Express and long-term planning to strengthen the grid. Emphasizes infrastructure and conservation measures (soil health, water conservation) rather than explicit fossil-fuel phase-outs or Green New Deal–style language.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports requiring background checks on gun sales, encouraging safe storage, and documenting gun transactions. Emphasizes reasonable gun-safety measures while engaging rural voters and public-safety concerns.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Josh Smead is being mentioned in coverage of Missouri’s 2026 election cycle, especially the crowded primary and the broader fight over ballot measures and redistricting. Recent reports say candidates in his race are split over a proposed income tax phaseout plan, and fundraising and turnout are shaping the contest. The broader political backdrop suggests Missouri races could be affected by new ballot measures and possible map changes, but the coverage does not give many specific new details about Smead himself.

fec.gov+40

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$71.9K
$54.0K
$36.0K
$18.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$71.9K
$16.7K
$55.2K
$2.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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  • Endorsements