Prediction Edge
Republican
Joshua McKee

Joshua McKee

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Alabama

Live Odds — AL-01 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$52.2KAUG 12, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Army Special Forces veteran (Green Beret)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationAlabama

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BackgroundU.S. Army Special Forces veteran (Green Beret)

Notable personal detailsJoshua Logan McKee is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District (2026). He is a U.S. Army Special Forces veteran (Green Beret) and has been described as a political newcomer from Robertsdale, Alabama. His principal campaign committee is Joshua McKee for Congress.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The campaign supports replacing the current tax code with the FairTax Act and abolishing the IRS, calls for cutting wasteful federal spending, and promotes free-market growth, energy independence, and manufacturing job expansion. These positions prioritize major tax code overhaul, reduced federal tax administration, and smaller-government economic approaches.

Healthcare

Supports conservative, limited-government healthcare reforms focused on fixing the VA, expanding local and rural access (including telehealth), protecting Medicare, reducing federal spending, and expanding access without expanding government control.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports strong border security and enforcement measures, including completing border security infrastructure, enforcing existing immigration laws, opposing sanctuary city policies, and backing Border Patrol and ICE. The campaign frames immigration as a sovereignty and security issue and emphasizes restoring strict enforcement and controls at the border.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports pro-life policies, including pro-life legislation and opposing taxpayer funding for abortion. He promotes adoption and pregnancy resource centers, defends conscience protections for healthcare workers and faith-based providers, and supports parental notification/rights related to abortion. These positions indicate support for restrictions on abortion while endorsing alternatives and exemptions for providers' conscience rights.

Climate & Energy

Supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy prioritizing American energy independence, promoting domestic oil, gas, and coal production, approving energy infrastructure, reducing environmental regulations, and supporting energy workers.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate's campaign platform explicitly defends Second Amendment rights, calls for constitutional carry, and opposes federal gun regulations while supporting firearms training and safety education. The platform emphasizes protecting law‑abiding gun owners from government overreach and preserving hunting and sporting traditions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 11, 2026

Joshua McKee is in the news because Alabama’s redistricting fight has reshaped the congressional primary calendar, with special primaries now set for Aug. 11 in several U.S. House districts. The changes are tied to court-ordered map changes and a broader Republican effort to protect the party’s narrow House majority ahead of the 2026 midterms. The earlier primary results in some districts will be voided under the new maps, so the August races are the ones that now matter most.

fec.gov+32

Latest Polls

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Joshua McKee currently averages 5.6%, ranking third in this race, 6.9 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 5.6%Position: thirdMargin: -6.9 ptsLatest poll: 6.0% (Apr 20 - 22)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through Apr 20 - 22.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
5.6%
29.0%
12.4%
Joshua McKee
J. McKee
Jerry Carl
J. Carl
Rhett Marques
R. Marques
Austin Sidwell
A. Sidwell
James Dees
J. Dees
James Richardson
J. Richardson
John Mills
J. Mills
Date (Start - End)SpreadMcKeeCarlMarquesSidwellDeesRichardsonMills
Polling Average
Carl+23.5
5.6%29.0%12.4%2.5%1.5%0.5%0.5%
PI PollingApr 20 - 22
Marques+16.0
6.0%20.0%22.0%4.0%1.0%1.0%0.0%
The Alabama PollMar 5 - 8
Carl+19.0
9.0%28.0%19.0%
AM Research GroupJan 31 - Feb 2
Carl+41.0
2.0%43.0%7.0%1.0%2.0%0.0%1.0%
The Alabama PollJan 23 - 23
Carl+16.4
8.8%25.2%9.2%
CygnalAug 21 - 22
Carl+27.0
2.0%29.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$521.1K
$390.8K
$260.5K
$130.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$521.1K
$524.9K
$27.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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