Prediction Edge
Republican
Josie Tomkow

Josie Tomkow

Republican candidate for State Senate in Florida

Live Odds — Florida SD-14 Special Election winner

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$25.6KMAR 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age30 years old (Oct 15, 1995)

GenderFemale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundCattle rancher

EducationUniversity of Florida, BA

Notable personal detailsJosie Taylor Tomkow is an American politician and cattle rancher who served in the Florida House of Representatives from May 2018 to March 17, 2026, representing District 39 (2018–2022) and District 51 (2022–2026). She earned a BA from the University of Florida and has listed Polk City as her city of residence. In 2026, she ran as the Republican candidate in the Florida Senate District 14 special election.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief and reductions including sales tax holidays and exemptions, property tax relief measures, and reductions to business-related taxes; advocates making Florida more affordable through lower taxes and pro-business policies. Positions emphasize tax cuts and regulatory relief rather than tax increases or wealth redistribution.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to government-provided healthcare services, including extending Medicaid coverage for new mothers and measures to expand medical access and scope-of-practice reforms. Positions emphasize broader access to primary, specialty, mental health, dental, and prescription services through state-level Medicaid changes.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strengthened enforcement and cooperation with federal authorities to remove criminal undocumented immigrants and prioritizes backing law enforcement in enforcing immigration-related laws. Serves on a Florida House select committee on illegal immigration, signaling focus on enforcement measures at the state level.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has supported laws restricting abortion access, including voting in favor of legislation that prohibited most abortions after 15 weeks of gestation. The voting record indicates support for state-level abortion limits while allowing some exceptions for the life or major physical impairment of the pregnant person.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has sponsored legislation that preempts local governments from restricting or banning energy options and has supported policies and endorsements aligned with pro-fossil-fuel and market-driven energy positions rather than aggressive climate regulation or local clean-energy mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has a record of supporting expanded gun purchase access and voting for bills that authorize 18-year-olds to buy firearms. Her legislative votes and past endorsements indicate a pro-Second Amendment, pro-gun-rights orientation while supporting law-enforcement-friendly public safety policies.

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