Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Juan Vargas

Juan Vargas

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Juan Vargas is trading at 79% to win the CA-52 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age65 years old (Mar 7, 1961)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of San Diego — B.A. (1983)

Notable personal detailsJuan Carlos Vargas is a Democratic member of the U.S. House representing California's 52nd congressional district, serving in Congress since 2013. He previously served on the San Diego City Council (1993–2000), in the California State Assembly (2000–2006), and in the California State Senate (2010–2012). He earned a B.A. from the University of San Diego, an M.A. from Fordham University, and a J.D. from Harvard University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax credits and federal investments to aid housing affordability and economic recovery, and opposes policies that reduce social program funding or impose harmful tariffs. Focuses on using tax incentives (e.g., low-income housing tax credits, first-time homebuyer credits) and federal spending to support communities and economic growth.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All / single‑payer health care and has cosponsored Medicare for All legislation; advocates expanding access to health coverage and strengthening programs like the ACA and Medicare benefits.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform including pathways to legalization, protections for asylum seekers and refugees, and humanitarian assistance for migrants; opposes restrictive executive actions targeting immigrants and has called for major changes to Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying the protections of Roe v. Wade into federal law and protecting access to abortion and reproductive healthcare, including measures to protect travel and provision of abortion services across state lines. Has voted for and publicly urged passage of the Women’s Health Protection Act and related federal legislation to restore and protect reproductive rights.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive climate action including endorsement of the Green New Deal framework, federal investment in clean energy and climate resilience, and policies to reduce emissions and promote environmental justice. Has led and co-sponsored congressional efforts on sustainable investing and opposed measures that would restrict climate-related disclosures or ESG investing. Advocates funding for climate-resilient projects in his district and national clean-energy investments.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun safety laws including reinstating/strengthening an assault weapons ban, expanded/universal background checks, and legislation that funds or enables red-flag (extreme-risk) interventions. Has voted in Congress for measures aligned with those policies and publicly endorsed related restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Juan Vargas says he is running for re-election in California’s 52nd Congressional District. He has been highlighting immigration, pollution in the Tijuana River Valley, health care costs, and climate policy as his main priorities. Recent coverage also shows him involved in local immigration enforcement oversight, including concerns about ICE arrests in San Diego and Imperial counties.

history.house.gov+45

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$942.9K
$707.2K
$471.4K
$235.7K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$942.9K
$219.5K
$793.1K
$33.0K

Cycle 2024

$790.6K
$90.8K
$919.3K
$38.3K

Cycle 2026

$568.5K
$163.7K
$495.7K
$27.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements