Prediction Edge
Republican
Justin Story

Justin Story

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-09 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$180.4KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleRetired U.S. Marine Corps officer

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationFlorida

BackgroundRetired U.S. Marine Corps officer

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Notable personal detailsJustin Story is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 9th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has described himself as a retired U.S. Marine Corps officer, a husband, and a father of two. His campaign is organized through the committee Justin Story for Congress.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

The candidate frames healthcare within a limited-government/fiscal-sanity perspective and emphasizes improving veterans’ access to timely medical care and mental-health services through the VA. No campaign materials on the site propose large public expansions such as Medicare for All or an explicit ACA-expansion/public-option plan.

Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes "Secure Borders & Lawful Immigration" as a core campaign principle and promotes border security and lawful immigration as priorities. Public campaign materials present a law-and-order framing favoring stronger border controls while not detailing pathways to legalization or expanded asylum protections.

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Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment and frames defending gun rights as part of his platform while emphasizing law enforcement and public safety through conservative priorities. No detailed policy proposals on specific gun regulations were found on his campaign materials.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026

Justin Story is running in the Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District. The race is focused on who will win the GOP nomination to challenge incumbent Democrat Darren Soto in the general election. Recent coverage highlights the candidates’ positions on affordability, housing, taxes, utilities, education, immigration, and environmental issues.

fec.gov+38

Latest Polls

FL-09 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Victory Insights
20%15%10%5%0%
14.2%
13.8%
13.8%
11.6%
Justin Story
J. Story
Jorge Martinez
J. Martinez
Thomas Chalifoux
T. Chalifoux
Ben Butler
B. Butler
Dan Green
D. Green
Marcus Carter
M. Carter
Steve Rance
S. Rance
Date (Start - End)SpreadStoryMartinezButlerChalifouxGreenCarterRance
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Martinez+11.7
2.5%14.2%13.8%13.8%11.6%1.8%1.4%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$92.6K
$69.4K
$46.3K
$23.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$92.6K
$37.4K
$55.2K
$2.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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