Prediction Edge
Democrat
Justin Wagner

Justin Wagner

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania

Live Odds — PA-16 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

8.2%chance to win

$9.4KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSenior automation engineer

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationPennsylvania

Show more

BackgroundSenior automation engineer

Notable personal detailsJustin Wagner is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Pennsylvania’s 16th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He is a veteran and an automation engineer, and has described work supporting life-sciences/pharmaceutical industry clients as well as past engineering work for the City of Seattle. He has also described prior union membership in the UAW and IBEW and has campaigned on pro-worker messaging.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Justin Wagner supports raising taxes on wealth and corporations rather than cutting them. He backs closing tax loopholes, lifting the payroll tax cap so high earners pay more into Social Security, and reinvesting the money into infrastructure, jobs, and public programs. He also supports a higher federal minimum wage and broader government support for housing, education, and retirement security.

Healthcare

Justin Wagner supports expanding Medicare and defending Medicaid, protecting the ACA, capping out-of-pocket costs, and eliminating surprise medical bills. He also backs Medicare negotiating drug prices and says he would push for Medicare for All.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports securing the border and stopping cartels while also emphasizing human dignity, due process, and the rule of law. Calls for independent oversight of enforcement, protection for DACA recipients, and a workable path to citizenship with expanded legal pathways for essential workers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a strong federal right to choose and says reproductive decisions should stay between a person and their doctor. Pledges to vote for codifying Roe v. Wade through the Women’s Health Protection Act, protect contraception access, end the Hyde Amendment, expand Title X, and repeal the Comstock Act.

Climate & Energy

Justin Wagner supports cutting emissions, investing in clean energy jobs, and protecting the Clean Air Act and Clean Water Act. His stated approach emphasizes following the science and holding polluters accountable.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks, constitutional red flag laws with due process protections, and stronger action against illegal firearms trafficking. Also emphasizes a pro–Second Amendment framing and says law-abiding citizens have a right to bear arms.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$66.6K
$49.9K
$33.3K
$16.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$66.6K
$37.5K
$34.1K
$1.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • News
  • Polls
  • Endorsements