Prediction Edge
Democrat
Kaela Berg

Kaela Berg

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota

Live Odds — MN-02 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$98.6KAUG 18, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age52 years old (Sep 15, 1973)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationMinnesota

BackgroundMinnesota state representative

Notable personal detailsKaela Berg is a Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) member of the Minnesota House of Representatives, first elected in 2020 and representing District 55B (previously 56B). She has worked as a flight attendant and as an independent labor consultant, and has been active in union organizing and labor issues. In 2025, she announced a campaign for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising taxes on high-income earners and addressing what she calls an unfair tax structure; sponsored legislation to create a new top individual income tax tier to offset lost federal Medicaid funds.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable healthcare including coverage for pre-existing conditions, mental health and chemical-dependency treatment, and expanded reproductive care; advocates lowering out-of-pocket costs and regulating hospital mergers and profit-driven structures in public insurance. Positions emphasize strengthening public programs and broader access rather than full privatization or repeal.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Opposes aggressive ICE enforcement actions and supports access to services for immigrants; has publicly confronted ICE and opposed measures to strip state healthcare from undocumented residents.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying and defending abortion and reproductive freedom in Minnesota law, describes abortion as healthcare and a right, and has voted for state legislation (the PRO Act) to protect reproductive freedoms and related privacy and contraception rights.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive clean-energy targets and legislation to decarbonize Minnesota’s electricity sector and advance clean-energy jobs; co-authored and voted for a bill to require 100% carbon-free electricity by 2040 and has sponsored/advocated for procurement and clean-construction measures to favor low-carbon materials.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun violence prevention measures including universal/background checks for private transfers, Extreme Risk Protection Orders (red flag laws), stronger penalties for straw purchases, required reporting of lost/stolen firearms, and bans on devices (binary/trigger activators) that increase firearm lethality.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 10, 2026

Kaela Berg is in the news because she is one of six Democrats competing in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District primary to replace Angie Craig. The winner of that race will go on to face Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt. She was also named in a report about Kalshi suspending candidates who bet on their own races, with Berg identified as one of the candidates affected.

lrl.mn.gov+48

Latest Polls

MN-02 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Kaela Berg currently averages 14.5%, ranking third in this race, 0.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 14.5%Position: thirdMargin: -0.5 ptsLatest poll: 16.0% (May 27 - Jun 1)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 27 - Jun 1.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
14.5%
33.5%
15%
Kaela Berg
K. Berg
Matt Little
M. Little
Matt Klein
M. Klein
Date (Start - End)SpreadBergLittleKlein
Polling Average
Little+19.0
14.5%33.5%15.0%
GQRMay 27 - Jun 1
Little+10.0
16.0%26.0%19.0%
Impact ResearchMay 18 - 20
Little+28.0
13.0%41.0%11.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$391.0K
$293.2K
$195.5K
$97.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$391.0K
$47.8K
$343.2K
$18.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements