AZ-04 Democratic nominee?
2dNewkirk’s win odds rose to 17% while Stanton slipped to 90%, adding a fresh repricing in the Democratic primary as early voting is already underway and coverage continues to frame this as a real challenge.
17%7%
AZ-04 Democratic nominee?
$42.1K
JUL 22, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Overview
Current roleCommunity organizer
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
GenderMale
LocationArizona
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BackgroundCommunity organizer
Notable personal detailsKai Newkirk is a community organizer and progressive activist running for the U.S. House in Arizona's 4th Congressional District. He has been involved in nonviolent direct-action and organizing work through groups including 99Rise and Democracy Spring. He serves as co-chair of the Arizona Democratic Party's Progressive Council and has lived in Tempe, Arizona since 2018.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govkaiforaz.comen.wikipedia.orgkjzz.orgamendment.apppbs.orgaxios.comballotready.orgirc.az.govburlingtonsalvationarmy.cavotewiser.comazsos.govreddit.comdocquery.fec.govnystate.retiredamericans.orgazfamily.comazdem.orgbluevoterguide.orgcatchfiremovement.orgkold.comelections.maricopa.govazcleanelections.govopencampaign.comazag.govcongress.govazeconcenter.orgarxiv.orgx.cominstagram.comfacebook.comourrevolution.comazcentral.comthe-downballot.comjpost.comtimesofisrael.comyahoo.commsn.comactionnetwork.orgvotesmart.orgnewdemocratcoalition.house.govziplook.house.govgovinfo.gov
Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports major tax increases on the wealthy and corporations and programs to expand federal spending on social goods. Proposes a wealth tax above $50 million, higher income tax rates for millionaires, higher corporate taxes, taxing capital gains and dividends as ordinary income, and increased IRS enforcement to collect unpaid taxes. Platform pairs these tax proposals with expanded programs such as Medicare for All, universal childcare, a federal jobs guarantee, and a national living wage.
Healthcare
Supports Medicare for All — a national public health insurance program guaranteeing healthcare as a right — along with government negotiation of drug prices and major expansion of federal funding for public hospitals and community health centers.
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Immigration & Border
The candidate supports abolishing ICE, restructuring DHS, and comprehensive reform of immigration laws to center humanitarian protections. He has criticized more moderate Democrats for not opposing restrictive immigration measures and opposes expanded detention mandates for undocumented immigrants.
Climate & Energy
Supports aggressive clean-energy expansion and climate action through federal policy measures such as rapid expansion of solar, water conservation and recycling investments, subsidies for electric vehicles, and repurposing fossil-fuel subsidies and windfall oil-profit taxes to lower costs and fund clean-energy programs. Has called for the U.S. government to declare a climate emergency and emphasizes climate justice as a core part of his activism and platform.
Latest Insights
Polls
AZ-04 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
23%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
AZ-04 Democratic nominee?
Endorsers of Kai Newkirk for AZ-04 Democratic nominee?
Political Revolution
Public figure
Political Revolution endorsed Kai Newkirk in Arizona's 4th District race.
Our Revolution
Public figure
Our Revolution endorsed Kai Newkirk in his 2026 Democratic primary challenge to Greg Stanton.
Progressive Democrats of America
Public endorsement
Progressive Democrats of America endorsed Kai Newkirk.
Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Total raisedCash on hand
$18.7K
$14.0K
$9.4K
$4.7K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$18.7K
$13.5K
$5.2K
$347.06
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- News