Prediction Edge
Democrat
Kat Abughazaleh

Kat Abughazaleh

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

Live Odds — IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$1.1MMAR 24, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleJournalist

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age27 years old (Mar 24, 1999)

GenderFemale

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LocationIllinois

BackgroundJournalist

EducationGeorge Washington University — B.A., International Affairs

Notable personal detailsKatherine Marie Abughazaleh, known professionally as Kat Abu, is an American journalist and digital video creator who has worked in political media and disinformation research. She has worked for Media Matters for America and as a video creator for outlets including Mother Jones and Zeteo. She is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois’s 9th Congressional District (2026 cycle).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports taxing the wealthy and expanding government programs including proposals such as a wealth tax, increased child tax credit, and Medicare for All; rejects corporate funding and emphasizes grassroots financing. Positions prioritize redistribution and expanded public spending to address economic inequality.

Healthcare

Supports universal health care and argues that everyone — including undocumented immigrants — deserves access to healthcare. Campaign materials note personal experience uninsured and prioritize making health care affordable and accessible as part of her platform.

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Immigration & Border

Supports an immediate pathway to citizenship for DREAMers and other undocumented immigrants, opposes mass deportations and internment camps, and seeks to increase refugee resettlement by removing caps and expanding legal immigration pathways. Emphasizes humanitarian framing of migration and calls for making legal immigration more accessible.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate states that abortion access is essential to health care and lists reproductive rights as a campaign issue, aligning with progressive pro‑choice positions. The campaign frames reproductive rights as part of its platform of protections for constituents' access to care.

Climate & Energy

Endorses the Green New Deal and creation of a Civilian Climate Corps, calls for rapid transition to renewable energy with federal investment, increased FEMA and NOAA funding, and frames climate action as a racial and economic justice issue.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports strong gun safety measures including an assault weapons ban modeled on Illinois law, comprehensive universal background checks, waiting periods, mandatory gun safety training, closing gun show and ghost-gun loopholes, and rejects arming educators as a solution. She has a history of organizing with Everytown for Gun Safety.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Kat Abughazaleh lost the Democratic primary in Illinois' 9th Congressional District, with Daniel Biss winning the nomination. Her campaign had drawn attention for its progressive platform and endorsements from figures like Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib. She is also still facing federal charges tied to a protest outside an immigration facility, which has remained part of the coverage around her race.

fec.gov+57

Latest Polls

IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Kat Abughazaleh currently averages 15.4%, ranking second in this race, 8.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 15.4%Position: secondMargin: -8.1 ptsLatest poll: 20.0% (Mar 9 - 10)Polls included: 10

Average recalculated from polls through Mar 9 - 10.

Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
15.4%
23.5%
13.3%
7.1%
Kat Abughazaleh
K. Abughazaleh
Daniel Biss
D. Biss
Laura Fine
L. Fine
Mike Simmons
M. Simmons
Bushra Amiwala
B. Amiwala
Phil Andrew
P. Andrew
Hoan Huynh
H. Huynh
Sam Polan
S. Polan
Nick Pyati
N. Pyati
Date (Start - End)SpreadAbughazalehBissFineSimmonsAmiwalaAndrewHuynhPolanPyati
Polling Average
Biss+8.1
15.4%23.5%13.3%7.1%4.5%3.5%2.8%0.4%0.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 9 - 10
Biss+4.0
20.0%24.0%14.0%10.0%6.0%7.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 20 - 21
Biss+7.0
17.0%24.0%16.0%6.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
MoliticoFeb 15 - 20
Biss+18.1
12.9%31.0%13.9%8.2%6.5%3.7%1.6%0.1%
Impact ResearchFeb 5 - 10
Biss+13.0
18.0%31.0%18.0%7.0%4.0%7.0%3.0%
GBAOJan 26 - 29
Biss+7.0
14.0%21.0%21.0%7.0%4.0%4.0%2.0%
GBAONov 9 - 15
Biss+6.0
14.0%20.0%13.0%10.0%5.0%1.0%4.0%
Impact ResearchNov 4 - 9
Biss+14.0
17.0%31.0%10.0%6.0%3.0%3.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressOct 29 - Nov 3
Abughazaleh+0.0
18.0%18.0%10.0%6.0%6.0%1.0%5.0%1.0%
MDW CommunicationsOct 14 - 16
Biss+5.0
13.0%18.0%9.0%
MDW CommunicationsJun 12 - 15
Biss+7.0
10.0%17.0%8.0%4.0%2.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$4.1M
$3.1M
$2.0M
$1.0M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$4.1M
$17.5K
$4.1M
$225.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements