Prediction Edge
Republican
Kendall Qualls

Kendall Qualls

Republican candidate for Governor in Minnesota

Live Odds — Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$1.3MAUG 18, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Army veteran

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMinnesota

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BackgroundU.S. Army veteran

Notable personal detailsKendall Qualls is an American Republican politician and former U.S. Army veteran who has run for elected office in Minnesota, including U.S. House in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District (2020). He has also been described as a retired health care executive and has been active in Minnesota Republican politics, including running for governor in 2022 and again for 2026.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significant tax cuts for individuals and businesses, including reducing the state corporate tax rate to 6% and collapsing personal income tax tiers to two rates (3% and 6%), and promoting lower-tax, pro-business policies to spur economic growth.

Healthcare

Emphasizes growing Minnesota’s healthcare sector and research (including Alzheimer’s and dementia) and highlights his career as a healthcare executive, but does not articulate clear positions on Medicare for All, ACA expansion, Medicaid policy, a public option, or market-based health reforms. Public statements available are general and focused on opportunity and research rather than specific policy prescriptions.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate expresses strong support for federal immigration enforcement and ICE operations in Minnesota and says he would cooperate with the federal administration on enforcement. He frames recent unrest tied to immigration enforcement as a leadership problem in the state and welcomes federal scrutiny of local officials. The positions emphasize tougher enforcement and cooperation with federal agencies rather than expanded legal pathways or asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes abortion and describes himself as "100% pro-life." He has expressed support for defunding Planned Parenthood and has been endorsed by anti-abortion groups.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding energy production and innovation with an emphasis on nuclear power, faster permitting, and pro-business, low-regulation policies to encourage development and jobs. Emphasizes cutting regulatory “waste, fraud and abuse” and lowering taxes to spur economic growth rather than pursuing aggressive emissions-focused measures.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports strong Second Amendment protections, aligning with policies such as permitless/constitutional carry and Stand Your Ground, and opposes additional gun-control measures. He emphasizes supporting law enforcement and tougher public-safety measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 12, 2026

Kendall Qualls is in the news because he is running in the crowded Minnesota Republican governor primary. GOP delegates endorsed him, and he later picked Brian Nicholson as his running mate. Recent coverage says the race is still unsettled, with turnout and undecided voters likely to play a big role as Qualls competes against Mike Lindell and Lisa Demuth.

fec.gov+60

Latest Polls

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Kendall Qualls currently averages 15.8%, ranking third in this race, 8.6 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 15.8%Position: thirdMargin: -8.6 ptsLatest poll: 17.0% (Jul 29 - Aug 4)Polls included: 8

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 29 - Aug 4.

Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
15.8%
25.5%
24.4%
12%
Kendall Qualls
K. Qualls
Mike Lindell
M. Lindell
Lisa Demuth
L. Demuth
Scott Jensen
S. Jensen
Kristin Robbins
K. Robbins
Brad Kohler
B. Kohler
Date (Start - End)SpreadQuallsLindellDemuthJensenRobbinsKohler
Polling Average
Lindell+9.7
15.8%25.5%24.4%12.0%3.0%1.0%
SurveyUSAJul 29 - Aug 4
Lindell+17.0
17.0%34.0%28.0%
SurveyUSAJul 15 - 20
Lindell+24.0
11.0%35.0%26.0%
Big Data PollJun 26 - 29
Lindell+14.9
9.6%24.5%19.8%
Minnesota Private Business CouncilJun 23 - 25
Demuth+5.2
23.9%20.4%29.1%
Minnesota Private Business CouncilJun 23 - 25
Demuth+5.9
27.7%23.7%33.6%
SurveyUSAJun 11 - 16
Lindell+10.0
17.0%27.0%22.0%
Big Data PollMay 18 - 20
Lindell+12.5
8.8%21.3%19.4%
Peak InsightsJan 31 - Feb 1
Lindell+7.0
11.0%18.0%17.0%12.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$51.8K
$38.9K
$25.9K
$13.0K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$489.84
$51.8K
$61.4K
$2.6K

Cycle 2024

$1.0K
$11.3K
$41.6K
$1.7K

Cycle 2026

$0.00
$0.00
$11.3K
$5.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements