Prediction Edge
Democrat
Kenneth Morgan-Aguilera

Kenneth Morgan-Aguilera

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-12 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

32%chance to win

$1.4KMAR 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleNonprofit executive director

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationTexas

BackgroundNonprofit executive director

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EducationDoctorate (field and institution not publicly specified in available sources)

Notable personal detailsKenneth Morgan-Aguilera is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas’ 12th Congressional District. He has described himself as a U.S. Army veteran and a nonprofit executive director, and he has also identified as a doctor with a doctorate degree. He lives in Crowley, Texas and has described himself publicly as a husband, father, and grandfather.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Advocates using tax policy to make the wealthy and corporations pay more and frames expanded public programs (e.g., healthcare) as funded by smarter use of taxes; emphasizes fairness for working families and that the top 1% should pay their fair share.

Healthcare

Supports a taxpayer-funded universal healthcare framework called 'Freedom to Heal' that guarantees comprehensive care for all Texans while allowing an optional premium tier for expanded services.

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Immigration & Border

The campaign calls for strengthening the border while streamlining lawful migration pathways and ensuring enforcement of existing immigration laws. The position emphasizes both improving legal pathways for migration and stronger border controls/enforcement.

Climate & Energy

The campaign emphasizes water-conservation and climate resilience through federal investments, water recycling, drought preparedness, and voluntary conservation incentives rather than mandates. The campaign also criticizes opponents’ ties to oil and gas industry money, indicating opposition to industry influence and support for pro-environment policies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 17, 2026

Kenneth Morgan-Aguilera is being mentioned in the context of the 2026 election cycle, where AI-focused super PACs are spending heavily in Texas races. The reporting says more than $20 million in AI-related money has gone into state contests as pro-innovation and pro-regulation groups compete over future policy. Broader election coverage also says Republicans have lost ground in several key House districts, which could shape the environment for candidates like him.

fec.gov+45

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$10.4K
$7.8K
$5.2K
$2.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$10.4K
$0.00
$10.6K
$703.74

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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