Prediction Edge
Republican
Kevin Hermening

Kevin Hermening

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Wisconsin

Live Odds — WI-07 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$33.4KAUG 18, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Marine Corps veteran

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationWisconsin

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BackgroundU.S. Marine Corps veteran

Notable personal detailsKevin J. Hermening is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He was a U.S. Marine Corps sergeant and is publicly known as one of the Americans held hostage during the Iran hostage crisis. He has also been involved in Republican Party politics in Marathon County, Wisconsin and has described business experience as part of his background.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Kevin Hermening's campaign messaging emphasizes lowering costs, supporting small businesses, and addressing fiscal mismanagement and rising national debt. He frames his economic priorities around reducing burdens on families and small businesses and strengthening rural communities. Specific proposals on tax rates or major tax increases are not found in the sourced campaign materials reviewed.

Healthcare

Kevin Hermening lists health care among his top priorities and emphasizes lowering health-care costs and fiscal responsibility in Washington. Public materials and local news interviews describe concern that health policy is not being handled well in D.C. but do not lay out specific policy prescriptions such as support for/against the ACA, a public option, Medicare for All, or Medicaid changes.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes border security and stronger immigration enforcement; his campaign materials list border security as a central concern. Past published commentary attributed to him advocated immediate, widespread deportation of undocumented immigrants and other strongly enforcement-first measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Kevin Hermening is in the news because he is running in the Republican primary for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District. The Aug. 11 race is drawing attention as he challenges Michael Alfonso, who has Donald Trump and other GOP backing. The contest is being framed as a test of whether Alfonso's endorsements and fundraising can outweigh criticism from local Republicans about his experience.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

TIPP Insights
15%10%5%0%
10%
Kevin Hermening
K. Hermening
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
TIPP InsightsJul 12, 2026
10.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 1, 2026
21.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.2M
$885.6K
$590.4K
$295.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.2M
$206.3K
$974.5K
$51.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements