The Bullfinch Group
40%30%20%10%0%
35%
Independent
Kevin Kiley
Independent candidate for U.S. House in California
$42.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Kevin Kiley is trading at 2% to win the CA-06 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyIndependent
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age41 years old (Jan 30, 1985)
GenderMale
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LocationCalifornia
BackgroundPolitician
EducationGranite Bay High School (2003)
Notable personal detailsKevin Patrick Kiley is a U.S. Representative from California, first elected to Congress in 2022 and serving since January 3, 2023. Before Congress, he served in the California State Assembly (2016–2022) and previously worked as a high school English teacher, an attorney, and a Deputy Attorney General for the California Department of Justice (2015–2016). He is a Harvard University graduate and earned a J.D. from Yale University, with additional graduate study at Loyola Marymount University.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govfec.govkiley.house.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgcongress.govclerk.house.govcommons.wikimedia.orgwiki.knf7.comgovinfo.govjoincalifornia.comsacbee.comprod2.freshproduce.comloc.govplacercountyelections.govnppc.orgmonocounty.ca.govelectkevinkiley.comsengov.comkcra.comlatimes.comyahoo.comcbsnews.comemilyslist.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgontheissues.orgsfgate.comballotpedia.orgcalmatters.orgnbcnews.compbs.orgivn.usabc10.comkqed.orgfox40.comapnews.compolitico.comsfchronicle.comcitrusheightssentinel.comlocalcandidates.orgfacebook.comamericansforprosperity.orgcha.house.govedworkforce.house.govcdn.ballotpedia.orgdirectory.house.govziplook.house.govhouse.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Kevin Kiley advocates substantial tax relief and tax cuts, favors reducing government spending and debt, and supports policies aimed at lowering the tax burden on middle-income families and small businesses while advancing business-friendly tax provisions. He has praised and voted for large tax-relief packages and promoted a balanced-budget/debt-reduction approach.
Healthcare
Supports extending and preserving Affordable Care Act premium tax credits to prevent large premium increases and has sponsored bipartisan legislation (the Fix It Act) to extend those subsidies while pursuing cost-control measures; emphasizes healthcare cost transparency and support for rural critical-access hospitals while expressing preference for consumer choice and limited regulatory mandates.
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Immigration & Border
Supports strong enforcement and border security measures, opposes sanctuary policies and benefits for undocumented immigrants, and has introduced legislation to expand cooperation with federal immigration enforcement and to restrict public benefits for undocumented residents.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports restricting abortion at the federal level and has voted against legislation to codify broad abortion protections; has voted for measures limiting access (including barring DoD funding for abortions and voting against the Women’s Health Protection Act) while stating he supports exceptions for rape, incest, and to save the mother’s life. The candidate frames abortion policy as primarily a state issue.
Climate & Energy
Supports increased domestic energy production and policies that limit aggressive state or federal regulation of fossil fuels and vehicle mandates, while backing legislation intended to lower energy costs through permitting and market-focused reforms.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports strong Second Amendment rights and the ability of individuals to defend themselves, and has received endorsements from pro-gun organizations. Has questioned expanded federal gun restrictions and emphasized law enforcement and incarceration for violent offenders rather than additional gun-control measures. Holds alliances and endorsements from NRA and other pro-gun groups.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026
Kevin Kiley is in the news mainly for his California 6th Congressional District race, where he advanced from the primary and is now headed to a runoff against Democrat Richard Pan. He ran as an independent after leaving the Republican Party, and the redrawn district has made the contest more competitive. Kiley has also been active on election policy, backing faster ballot counting and certification in California and pushing a ban on middecade congressional redistricting. He has recently signed or supported several House efforts on Ukraine aid and Iran policy as well.
history.house.gov+47
Articles
SLSalt Lake City Deseret News3 months ago
Did redistricting work in Democrats favor in California?
Positive
NNewsmax3 months ago
Rep. Kiley to Newsmax: Slow Calif. Vote Tally Erodes Trust
Positive
SSFGATE3 months ago
biter in redrawn Calif. district as Democrats could be shut out
Positive
CNCBS News3 months ago
Voters in California's redrawn Congressional District 6 to decide who advances past primary election
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.3M
$3.2M
$2.1M
$1.1M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$3.2M
$39.0K
$3.2M
$132.2K
Cycle 2024
$4.3M
$381.0K
$3.9M
$163.5K
Cycle 2026
$3.0M
$2.1M
$1.2M
$69.2K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements