FL-14 Republican nominee?
20dHigh ImpactKevin Steele is now leading with 69% odds and is ahead by 39.0 points.

Kevin Steele
Kevin Steele is now leading with 69% odds and is ahead by 39.0 points.

Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current roleState Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
GenderMale
LocationFlorida
BackgroundState representative
EducationUniversity of South Florida (B.A.)
Notable personal detailsKevin M. Steele is a Republican member of the Florida House of Representatives, representing District 55 since November 8, 2022. He has described himself as a retired tech executive and previously launched a campaign for Florida Chief Financial Officer before ending that bid in early 2026. In May 2026, he entered the Republican primary for Florida’s 14th Congressional District against incumbent U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor.
Kevin Steele advocates reducing or eliminating property taxes on homesteads and emphasizes cutting waste and holding state government accountable to lower taxes and fiscal costs. His campaign and public statements prioritize tax relief for homeowners and oversight to restrain government spending.
Kevin Steele has expressed that improving healthcare affordability and reducing costs is a priority, but public materials and campaign pages reviewed do not set out a clear policy prescription (for example, support for Medicaid expansion, a public option, Medicare-for-All, or specific market-based reforms). Available statements on his campaign/issue pages emphasize cutting waste and addressing insurance costs without detailed healthcare-policy positions.
The candidate supported Florida bills that expand state-level immigration enforcement and penalties, including measures described as strengthening penalties for transporting undocumented people and coordinating state resources with federal immigration authorities. The candidate voted in favor of multiple immigration-related bills that have been characterized as enforcement-first and anti-immigrant by advocacy groups.
Kevin Steele voted in favor of Florida legislation (SB300) that prohibits most abortions after six weeks of gestation while allowing exceptions for rape, incest, and human trafficking. His 2023 legislative scorecard record lists a yes vote on the Heartbeat Protection Act and aligns him with restrictive abortion policy proposals.
The candidate has supported legislation that removes references to “climate change” from state law, bans offshore wind development, and protects use of natural gas while encouraging nuclear technologies. His legislative record shows votes in favor of measures prioritizing fossil-fuel–friendly and anti-climate-regulatory policies.
Kevin Steele is now leading with 69% odds and is ahead by 39.0 points.
Kevin Steele’s Republican nominee odds for FL-14 jumped from 20% to 69% in the last hour, and fresh reporting says he has entered the race and may self-fund heavily. That makes him the clear market leader in a crowded GOP field and gives traders a new front-runner to reprice.
Kevin Steele's odds in "FL-14 Republican nominee?" are now 79%, above the prior high of 43%.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.