Prediction Edge
Republican
Kevin Steele

Kevin Steele

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-14 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$60.4KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFlorida state representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

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BackgroundFlorida state representative

EducationUniversity of South Florida — business management degree

Notable personal detailsKevin M. Steele is a Republican politician serving in the Florida House of Representatives (District 55, Pasco County). He filed to run for U.S. House in Florida’s 14th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle and is listed as qualified by the Florida Division of Elections. Public reporting describes him as the founder of a healthcare technology company, Datalink, and a University of South Florida graduate with a business management degree.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Kevin Steele advocates reducing or eliminating property taxes on homesteads and emphasizes cutting waste and holding state government accountable to lower taxes and fiscal costs. His campaign and public statements prioritize tax relief for homeowners and oversight to restrain government spending.

Healthcare

Kevin Steele has expressed that improving healthcare affordability and reducing costs is a priority, but public materials and campaign pages reviewed do not set out a clear policy prescription (for example, support for Medicaid expansion, a public option, Medicare-for-All, or specific market-based reforms). Available statements on his campaign/issue pages emphasize cutting waste and addressing insurance costs without detailed healthcare-policy positions.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supported Florida bills that expand state-level immigration enforcement and penalties, including measures described as strengthening penalties for transporting undocumented people and coordinating state resources with federal immigration authorities. The candidate voted in favor of multiple immigration-related bills that have been characterized as enforcement-first and anti-immigrant by advocacy groups.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Kevin Steele voted in favor of Florida legislation (SB300) that prohibits most abortions after six weeks of gestation while allowing exceptions for rape, incest, and human trafficking. His 2023 legislative scorecard record lists a yes vote on the Heartbeat Protection Act and aligns him with restrictive abortion policy proposals.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has supported legislation that removes references to “climate change” from state law, bans offshore wind development, and protects use of natural gas while encouraging nuclear technologies. His legislative record shows votes in favor of measures prioritizing fossil-fuel–friendly and anti-climate-regulatory policies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Kevin Steele is being mentioned in coverage of Florida’s 2026 congressional races, but the summaries do not show a clear, specific development about him. Most of the recent reporting is about broader redistricting, party spending, and crowded House contests in Florida rather than Steele himself. Based on the available information, his current news value appears tied to the wider election landscape, not a distinct new action or announcement.

dos.elections.myflorida.com+49

Latest Polls

FL-14 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Kevin Steele currently averages 27.4%, ranking second in this race, 2.9 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 27.4%Position: secondMargin: -2.9 ptsLatest poll: 26.1% (Aug 6 - 8)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 6 - 8.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
27.4%
30.2%
7.3%
Kevin Steele
K. Steele
Mike Beltran
M. Beltran
Bea Valenti
B. Valenti
Rocky Rochford
R. Rochford
Michael Marcel
M. Marcel
Gavriel Soriano
G. Soriano
Date (Start - End)SpreadSteeleBeltranValentiRochfordMarcelSoriano
Polling Average
Beltran+2.9
27.4%30.2%7.3%3.3%1.1%0.9%
Catalyst ResearchAug 6 - 8
Beltran+2.9
26.1%29.0%7.8%4.1%1.0%0.7%
Catalyst ResearchAug 6 - 8
Beltran+6.2
33.2%39.4%11.5%6.7%2.0%1.8%
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Steele+9.6
32.1%22.5%8.3%0.9%1.0%
St. Pete PollsJul 14 - 15
Beltran+11.9
18.1%30.0%1.6%1.3%0.3%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.6M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$647.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.6M
$482.6K
$2.1M
$110.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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