Prediction Edge
High Impact20d
Kevin Steele

Kevin Steele

69%

Kevin Steele is now leading with 69% odds and is ahead by 39.0 points.

Republican
Kevin Steele

Kevin Steele

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

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BackgroundState representative

EducationUniversity of South Florida (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsKevin M. Steele is a Republican member of the Florida House of Representatives, representing District 55 since November 8, 2022. He has described himself as a retired tech executive and previously launched a campaign for Florida Chief Financial Officer before ending that bid in early 2026. In May 2026, he entered the Republican primary for Florida’s 14th Congressional District against incumbent U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Kevin Steele advocates reducing or eliminating property taxes on homesteads and emphasizes cutting waste and holding state government accountable to lower taxes and fiscal costs. His campaign and public statements prioritize tax relief for homeowners and oversight to restrain government spending.

Healthcare

Kevin Steele has expressed that improving healthcare affordability and reducing costs is a priority, but public materials and campaign pages reviewed do not set out a clear policy prescription (for example, support for Medicaid expansion, a public option, Medicare-for-All, or specific market-based reforms). Available statements on his campaign/issue pages emphasize cutting waste and addressing insurance costs without detailed healthcare-policy positions.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supported Florida bills that expand state-level immigration enforcement and penalties, including measures described as strengthening penalties for transporting undocumented people and coordinating state resources with federal immigration authorities. The candidate voted in favor of multiple immigration-related bills that have been characterized as enforcement-first and anti-immigrant by advocacy groups.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Kevin Steele voted in favor of Florida legislation (SB300) that prohibits most abortions after six weeks of gestation while allowing exceptions for rape, incest, and human trafficking. His 2023 legislative scorecard record lists a yes vote on the Heartbeat Protection Act and aligns him with restrictive abortion policy proposals.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has supported legislation that removes references to “climate change” from state law, bans offshore wind development, and protects use of natural gas while encouraging nuclear technologies. His legislative record shows votes in favor of measures prioritizing fossil-fuel–friendly and anti-climate-regulatory policies.

Latest Insights

FL-14 Republican nominee?

20dHigh Impact

Kevin Steele is now leading with 69% odds and is ahead by 39.0 points.

69%

FL-14 Republican nominee?

20dHigh Impact

Kevin Steele’s Republican nominee odds for FL-14 jumped from 20% to 69% in the last hour, and fresh reporting says he has entered the race and may self-fund heavily. That makes him the clear market leader in a crowded GOP field and gives traders a new front-runner to reprice.

69%49%

FL-14 Republican nominee?

6d

Kevin Steele's odds in "FL-14 Republican nominee?" are now 79%, above the prior high of 43%.

79%36%

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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