Prediction Edge
Republican
Kurt Alme

Kurt Alme

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Montana

Live Odds — Montana Republican Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

99%chance to win

$3.3KJUN 3, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age59 years old (Oct 7, 1966)

GenderMale

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LocationMontana

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Colorado Boulder — B.S. (business)

Notable personal detailsKurt G. Alme is an American attorney and Republican political candidate in Montana. He served as U.S. Attorney for the District of Montana (2017–2020) and again beginning March 17, 2025, and previously served as an Assistant U.S. Attorney and First Assistant U.S. Attorney in the District of Montana. He has also served as Director of the Montana Department of Revenue and as Montana state budget director, and worked in nonprofit leadership.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and fiscally conservative budgets, including reductions to state income tax rates and $60 million per year in tax relief while prioritizing economic growth and reduced tax burden on residents. Emphasizes simplifying and compressing tax rates and using budget surpluses/reserves to make targeted tax reductions.

Healthcare

Has worked on health-related administrative and enforcement efforts—particularly opioid/substance-abuse treatment funding and a healthcare-fraud task force—and as a state budget director participated in budgeting for health and human services. No clear public advocacy for broad health-policy positions (for example, Medicare for All, ACA expansion, or major market-based health reforms) was found in the sources reviewed.

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Immigration & Border

Kurt Alme, in his role as U.S. Attorney and in public remarks, has emphasized enforcing immigration laws, using immigration charges and deportation as tools to remove individuals involved in criminal activity, and supporting efforts to stop large flows of illegal immigration. His prosecutorial work includes immigration-related prosecutions and coordination with Border Patrol and federal law-enforcement efforts. He has not been found advocating for expanded legal pathways or regularization in the sourced material.

Public Safety & Guns

Emphasizes strong support for law enforcement and federal prosecution of firearm-related crimes and has overseen initiatives to enforce existing gun laws and reduce violent gun crime. Focuses on enforcement programs (e.g., Project Safe Neighborhoods/Triggerlock/Project Guardian) and law-enforcement collaboration rather than proposing major new firearm restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Kurt Alme won Montana’s Republican Senate primary and is now the GOP nominee for the open U.S. Senate seat. He enters the general election with major backing from Sen. Steve Daines, Gov. Greg Gianforte, and Donald Trump. The race will now move to November, where he will face Democrat Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Earlier coverage focused on Alme’s late entry into the race after Daines withdrew and effectively cleared the path for him.

fec.gov+51

Latest Polls

Montana Republican Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling
100%80%60%40%20%0%
73%
12%
Kurt Alme
K. Alme
Lee Calhoun
L. Calhoun
Date (Start - End)SpreadAlmeCalhoun
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest PollingApr 29 - May 7
Alme+61.0
73.0%12.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$992.4K
$496.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$1.5M
$534.1K
$29.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements