Prediction Edge
Republican
Larry Rhoden

Overview

Current roleGovernor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age67 years old (Feb 5, 1959)

GenderMale

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LocationSouth Dakota

BackgroundPolitician

EducationSunshine Bible Academy (graduated 1977)

Notable personal detailsLarry Robert Rhoden is an American politician, rancher, and businessman who has served as the 34th governor of South Dakota since January 2025. A Republican, he previously served in the South Dakota House of Representatives and South Dakota Senate, and was lieutenant governor of South Dakota from 2019 to 2025 on the Noem–Rhoden ticket. He served in the South Dakota National Guard from 1978 to 1985.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Larry Rhoden has supported tax relief measures focused on reducing property taxes, proposed a county option to raise sales tax to offset residential property tax burdens, and emphasizes fiscal conservatism and balanced budgets while opposing large tax increases. His actions include signing property-tax-limiting legislation and advancing budgets described as fiscally conservative.

Healthcare

Focuses on strengthening rural healthcare access and the healthcare workforce through state programs and federal Rural Health Transformation funding, and supports integrating behavioral health into primary care; has sought legislation to restrict abortion medication. Public statements emphasize investments and programmatic changes rather than broad federal expansions or explicit market-based reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Larry Rhoden has enacted and supported measures that strengthen immigration enforcement: he signed a statewide ban on sanctuary cities, has sent South Dakota National Guard troops to the southern border, and requested a Memorandum of Agreement for the South Dakota Highway Patrol to assist U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). His public statements emphasize removing criminal undocumented immigrants and supporting federal enforcement efforts to secure the border.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports strict limits on abortion, seeks legislation to block abortion pills from entering the state, and has directed state officials to investigate abortion pill advertising. Abortion in South Dakota is treated as illegal except to save the life of the pregnant person, and the candidate has advocated enforcing and expanding those restrictions.

Climate & Energy

Larry Rhoden supports an all-of-the-above energy approach that emphasizes reliable, affordable energy and consumer choice while backing higher renewable fuel (ethanol/biomass diesel) volumes for rural producers. He signed legislation prohibiting the use of eminent domain for carbon dioxide pipelines, citing property-rights and permitting concerns, and joined a governors’ coalition that seeks to limit regulatory mandates and prioritize affordability and reliability. These positions combine support for renewable fuels with a preference for market-driven energy policy and limits on regulatory im­

Public Safety & Guns

Larry Rhoden has taken pro-Second Amendment actions as governor, signing multiple bills that expand concealed-carry rights (including on public college campuses and in certain workplaces and bars) and enacting laws that limit restrictions on firearm transactions and covenants that restrict firearm possession. He frames these actions as protecting Second Amendment freedoms and has signed legislation to reduce limits on where firearms may be carried or stored.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Larry Rhoden is in the middle of a Republican runoff for South Dakota governor against businessman Toby Doeden, after no candidate cleared the threshold in the primary. The runoff winner will move on to the general election against Democrat Dan Ahlers. Rhoden has also been tied to major state policy moves this year, including a property tax relief plan backed by a county sales tax and a new law requiring new voters to prove U.S. citizenship.

nga.org+46

Polls

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
27.1%
28.6%
18.4%
13.1%
Larry Rhoden
L. Rhoden
Dusty Johnson
D. Johnson
Toby Doeden
T. Doeden
Jon Hansen
J. Hansen
Date (Start - End)SpreadRhodenJohnsonDoedenHansen
Polling Average
Johnson+1.5
27.1%28.6%18.4%13.1%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 26 - 27
Rhoden+6.2
32.6%26.4%23.6%14.1%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 26 - 27
Rhoden+5.2
32.4%27.2%24.0%13.2%
Meeting Street InsightsMay 18 - 20
Rhoden+1.0
23.0%19.0%22.0%21.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 18 - 19
Doeden+7.3
19.0%23.3%26.3%16.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 7 - 11
Johnson+17.0
17.0%34.0%17.4%17.8%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Johnson+11.5
16.6%28.1%17.6%13.6%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5
Johnson+5.0
28.0%33.0%16.0%10.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5
Rhoden+9.0
48.0%39.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyOct 16 - 20
Johnson+1.0
27.0%28.0%15.0%10.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 9 - 11
Johnson+1.0
27.0%28.0%4.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

Endorsers of Larry Rhoden for South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

South Dakota Fraternal Order of Police

Public endorsement

The South Dakota Fraternal Order of Police endorsed Larry Rhoden for the Republican gubernatorial runoff.

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Christine Erickson

Elected official

Sioux Falls Mayor Christine Erickson endorsed Gov. Larry Rhoden in the Republican gubernatorial runoff.

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SBA Pro-Life America

Elected official

SBA Pro-Life America endorsed Larry Rhoden for governor.

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Tourism Coalition of South Dakota

Elected official

The Tourism Coalition of South Dakota endorsed Gov. Larry Rhoden for the Republican nomination for governor.

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Paul TenHaken

Elected official

Sioux Falls Mayor Paul TenHaken endorsed Larry Rhoden for governor.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising