Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Lateefah Simon

Lateefah Simon

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Lateefah Simon is trading at 99% to win the CA-12 primary: first place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age49 years old (Jan 29, 1977)

GenderFemale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationMills College — B.A., Public Policy

Notable personal detailsLateefah Simon is a U.S. Representative from California’s 12th Congressional District, first serving in Congress in 2025. She is a civil rights and social justice advocate who previously served on the Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) Board of Directors and led organizations focused on racial justice and reentry. She earned a B.A. in Public Policy from Mills College and an MPA from the University of San Francisco.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports policies to make the wealthiest Americans and corporations pay a larger share of taxes to reduce income inequality and fund public programs. Her public materials and campaign identify economic fairness and progressive revenue measures as priorities while serving in Democratic and progressive caucuses.

Healthcare

Supports universal 'healthcare for all' and has backed expanding public programs and protections, including measures such as a public option and policies consistent with Medicare expansion/single-payer goals (e.g., lowering Medicare eligibility age, expanding Medicare benefits and prescription drug negotiation). Positions emphasize expanding government-run coverage and strengthening safety-net programs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanding legal pathways to work authorization and citizenship, protecting DACA and creating a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers, and disentangling criminal enforcement from immigration enforcement to reduce backlogs and protect asylum access. Emphasizes a fair and humane immigration system that reduces asylum and employment-based backlogs.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports reproductive freedom and legal access to abortion and pledges to fight to guarantee that every woman has access to safe, legal abortion. Advocates protecting reproductive health services and preventing cuts to reproductive care.

Climate & Energy

Supports environmental justice and policies to transition away from fossil fuels while advancing clean and equitable public transportation and federal climate investments. Has received endorsements from national environmental advocacy organizations and has promoted transit funding and sustainable transportation initiatives. Positions emphasize clean energy investment and reducing reliance on fossil fuels rather than climate skepticism or unfettered fossil-fuel expansion.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded federal gun safety measures including closing loopholes in federal gun laws, stopping the flow of illegal firearms, universal background checks, a federal extreme-risk (red flag) law, and safe-storage standards while also funding violence-prevention programs and alternatives to policing in some contexts.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Lateefah Simon is in the news for leading early returns in her California 12th Congressional District primary, with both candidates expected to advance to the general election. She has also been active on federal policy, co-sponsoring the Living Wage for All Act to raise the minimum wage to $25 an hour. In addition, she announced $1.092 million in federal funding for the San Leandro Shoreline project and was recently honored as an honorary grand marshal at Alameda’s 4th of July Parade and inducted into Zeta Phi Beta’s honorary membership class.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$557.9K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$285.7K
$1.9M
$81.1K

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$777.6K
$957.3K
$53.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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