Prediction Edge
Republican
Lily Tang Williams

Lily Tang Williams

Republican candidate for U.S. House in New Hampshire

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Lily Tang Williams is trading at 100% to win the NH-02 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleActivist

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age62 years old (Jul 30, 1964)

GenderFemale

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LocationNew Hampshire

BackgroundActivist

Notable personal detailsLily Tang Williams is an American activist, businesswoman, and Republican candidate for the U.S. House in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District. She previously chaired the Colorado Libertarian Party (2015–2016) and was the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate in Colorado in 2016. She ran for NH-02 in 2022 and was the Republican nominee in 2024, when she lost the general election to Maggie Goodlander. She has also been active as a speaker associated with the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation and has described work managing rental properties and serving as an expert witness on China-related cases.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting taxes, reducing federal spending, and limiting regulation; signed/endorsed pledges and proposals to oppose tax increases and to cut federal spending. Has emphasized protection of small businesses, lowering inflation by reducing government spending, and selective tariffs on China for national-security reasons.

Healthcare

Supports market-based alternatives to the Affordable Care Act and describes ACA subsidies/Obamacare as unsustainable. Advocates increasing competition and consumer choice (e.g., buying insurance across state lines, catastrophic plans, direct primary care, medical-sharing) rather than expanded federal subsidies.

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Immigration & Border

Supports significantly stronger border enforcement and funding for ICE, ending catch-and-release, building barriers at the southern border, detaining and returning those who cross illegally, while allowing streamlined legal pathways and limited relief for Dreamers after border security is addressed.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate says abortion is a states’ rights issue and will not vote for any federal law on abortion; she supports New Hampshire’s current law allowing abortion up to 24 weeks and indicates she would defer to state-level decisions. She has said she would abstain from voting on sweeping federal abortion legislation.

Climate & Energy

Supports market-driven energy choices, reduced federal regulation of energy and environmental policy, and a smaller EPA role; expresses skepticism about strong top-down climate measures and is not fully convinced climate change attribution to human activity. Emphasizes economic growth and consumer choice as the primary means to address environmental or climate concerns.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate strongly supports the Second Amendment, advocates national constitutional carry, opposes gun-free zones and repeal of what she calls unconstitutional gun-control laws, and emphasizes protecting gun rights as a defense against tyranny. Her campaign has accepted and promoted endorsements from pro-gun organizations.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Lily Tang Williams is in the news as a candidate in the 2026 election cycle, but the provided reports do not give any clear update on her own race or results. Most of the recent coverage is about other primary contests and broader election developments in several states. Based on these summaries, there is not enough specific new information about her campaign to say more.

fec.gov+40

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Lily Tang Williams currently averages 55.7%, ranking first in this race, 50.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 55.7%Position: firstMargin: +50.3 ptsLatest poll: 58.0% (Aug 20 - 24)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 20 - 24.

Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
55.7%
5.3%
Lily Tang Williams
L. Williams
Victor Orlando
V. Orlando
Date (Start - End)SpreadWilliamsOrlando
Polling Average
Williams+50.3
55.7%5.3%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterAug 20 - 24
Williams+56.0
58.0%2.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterAug 17 - 18
Williams+46.0
53.0%7.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterJun 24 - 25
Williams+49.0
56.0%7.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.2M
$899.8K
$599.9K
$299.9K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$186.2K
$30.8K
$155.4K
$6.5K

Cycle 2024

$881.8K
$129.5K
$783.1K
$32.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.2M
$627.8K
$701.5K
$35.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements