Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age70 years old (Jul 9, 1955)

GenderMale

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LocationSouth Carolina

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of South Carolina (undergraduate degree)

Notable personal detailsLindsey Olin Graham is a Republican U.S. Senator from South Carolina, serving in the Senate since 2003 after representing South Carolina’s 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House (1995–2003). He is an attorney and a retired U.S. Air Force Reserve colonel, having served on active duty, in the South Carolina Air National Guard, and in the reserves until 2015. He earned both his undergraduate and law degrees from the University of South Carolina.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering taxes and tax reform that reduces rates for individuals and businesses and expands the child tax credit; voted for the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and has publicly defended the 2017 tax changes while criticizing Democratic tax-and-spend proposals. Positions emphasize tax cuts to stimulate growth and keep more income with taxpayers.

Healthcare

Opposes single-payer/Medicare for All and has repeatedly supported repealing or replacing the Affordable Care Act. Has sponsored legislation (Graham–Cassidy) to return control to states via block grants and advocated market/state-centered alternatives to federal coverage expansions. Emphasizes protecting existing Medicare while preventing expansion of a federal single-payer system.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stricter border enforcement and measures to reduce illegal immigration, including deportations and limiting birthright citizenship; has criticized current asylum and parole policies as being abused and called for policy changes to 'seal' the border and increase removals.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports federal restrictions on abortion, advocating a national minimum ban around 15 weeks with exceptions for rape, incest, and the life (and in some statements physical health) of the mother; has also sponsored/introduced legislation to ban abortions at later gestational thresholds (e.g., 20 weeks).

Climate & Energy

Affirms that climate change is real but rejects large-scale regulatory plans like the Green New Deal and emphasizes protecting the fossil-fuel industry while seeking market-oriented or ‘‘win‑win’’ solutions such as carbon pricing rather than top-down mandates. Positions combine support for acknowledging science with opposition to aggressive regulations that would, in his view, harm the economy or energy independence.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports some targeted safety measures such as red-flag/protective-order laws and improvements to background-check systems while opposing bans on assault-style weapons and defending lawful private ownership (he has said he owns an AR-15). He frames solutions around mental-health interventions and law enforcement rather than broad new firearm bans.

Latest Insights

South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?

27d

Lindsey Graham’s Republican nomination price has moved up sharply, from 88% 24 hours ago to 93.8% now, while recent coverage around South Carolina redistricting and his primary contest keeps the race in view for traders. The move matters because Graham is already the clear favorite, so the drift tightens an already lopsided market rather than creating a new leader change.

94%0%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Lindsey Graham won the South Carolina Republican Senate primary and secured the GOP nomination for a fifth term. He avoided a runoff by finishing with about 56.8% of the vote and will face Democrat Annie Andrews in the November general election. The race drew attention because Graham faced multiple challengers and there were also allegations from rival Mark Lynch about voting machine corruption, though those claims were not independently verified.

lgraham.senate.gov+32

Polls

South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
51.0%
20.9%
12.8%
Lindsey Graham
L. Graham
Mark Lynch
M. Lynch
Paul Dans
P. Dans
Date (Start - End)SpreadGrahamLynchDans
Polling Average
Graham+30.1
51.0%20.9%12.8%
InsiderAdvantageJun 6 - 7
Graham+30.2
51.2%21.0%
Trafalgar GroupJun 5 - 7
Graham+19.8
49.2%29.4%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 3 - 4
Graham+25.7
53.4%27.7%
The Citadel School of Humanities and Social SciencesMay 21 - 31
Graham+10.0
46.0%36.0%
Trafalgar GroupMay 21 - 24
Graham+23.7
52.0%28.3%
InsiderAdvantageMay 13 - 14
Graham+42.7
56.0%13.3%
Quantus InsightsOct 1 - 4
Graham+43.0
58.0%15.0%7.0%
Big Data PollSep 26 - 29
Graham+24.2
46.3%4.1%22.1%
Quantus InsightsJun 10 - 13
Graham+25.0
48.0%23.0%
Big Data PollJun 8 - 11
Graham+38.7
49.5%10.8%9.2%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$15.6M
$11.7M
$7.8M
$3.9M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$10.2M
$14.6M
$8.1M
$336.2K

Cycle 2024

$4.5M
$15.6M
$3.6M
$148.3K

Cycle 2026

$6.2M
$4.2M
$17.6M
$1.0M

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements