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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

PA-11 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Lloyd Smucker

    Will Republican win the House race for PA-11?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC

RepublicanIncumbent
Lloyd K. Smucker

Lloyd K. Smucker

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania

Saved odds — PA-11 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

97%chance to win

$10.2KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age62 years old (Jan 23, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationPennsylvania

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationLebanon Valley College (attended)

Notable personal detailsLloyd K. Smucker is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Pennsylvania, first sworn in on January 3, 2017. Before Congress, he served on the West Lampeter Township planning commission and board of supervisors and later served in the Pennsylvania State Senate (2009–2016). He has been a business owner and has attended Lebanon Valley College and Franklin & Marshall College.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Lloyd Smucker supports tax relief, especially permanent tax cuts for workers and small businesses. He has backed extending and making permanent pro-growth tax provisions and argues these policies help Americans keep more of what they earn and support economic growth.

Healthcare

Smucker supports repealing the Affordable Care Act and shifting regulatory power to the states. He has also backed market-driven approaches that end Obamacare mandates and lower premiums through private-sector competition. He has sponsored or supported bipartisan measures aimed at expanding access in more targeted ways, including direct primary care and Medicare-related access reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and tighter immigration controls. Backed the Secure the Border Act and later supported new funding for border security, while also backing a bipartisan immigration bill that pairs enforcement with a legal-status framework.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Smucker stated that he opposes legalized abortion except when the life of the mother is in danger or the pregnancy results from rape or incest. This reflects support for abortion restrictions with limited exceptions.

Climate & Energy

Supports limiting federal climate regulation in favor of reliable, affordable, American-made energy. Backed a proposal to impose a user fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles and described his top priorities as including unleashing American energy dominance.

Public Safety & Guns

Smucker has opposed federal gun-control measures such as universal background checks, enhanced background checks, an assault weapons ban, and a federal extreme risk protection order law. He has also framed his position as defending Second Amendment rights while supporting measures like school violence prevention and concealed carry reciprocity.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.8M
$1.4M
$914.0K
$457.0K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.6M
$879.8K
$1.4M
$57.4K

Cycle 2024

$1.8M
$904.1K
$1.8M
$75.2K

Cycle 2026

$1.5M
$810.8K
$1.6M
$89.9K

Source: FEC

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