Polling Average
20%15%10%5%0%
5.8%
17.8%
8.3%
Republican
Luke Murphy
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida
FL-02 Republican nominee?
$213.0K
AUG 25, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — FL-02 Republican nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
0%chance to win
$213.0KAUG 25, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current rolePolitical candidate
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
LocationFlorida
BackgroundPolitical candidate
Show moreShow less
Notable personal detailsLuke Murphy is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He filed a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission on February 11, 2026, and has an authorized principal campaign committee, Luke Murphy for Congress. He has described himself as a decorated veteran and a former member of the United States Army.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govdocquery.fec.govdos.elections.myflorida.comlukemurphyforcongress.comwebforms.fec.govthecandidate.comdoesecure.dos.state.fl.uslearn.microsoft.compostman.comlegalclarity.orgocvote.govfec.state.fl.usen.wikipedia.orgreddit.combaycountycoastal.comaol.comwctv.tvdos.fl.govpolitifact.comnpr.orgwlrn.orgntu.orgbrookings.eduwusf.orgfloridaphoenix.comcongress.govflsenate.govlakelandchamber.comarxiv.orgtallahasseereports.comfacebook.cominstagram.comballotpedia.orgfloridapolitics.compolitico.comtallahassee.comreutersconnect.comx.comballotready.orgsenate.govgovinfo.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Immigration & Border
The candidate opposes mass amnesty and regularization for people who crossed the border illegally and supports strengthened enforcement funding for immigration authorities. He characterizes ICE agents positively and calls for increased resources for immigration enforcement while blaming the current administration for large numbers crossing the border.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026
Luke Murphy is being mentioned in coverage of the 2026 House race fundraising picture. A Newsweek report says Democrats outraised Republican incumbents in many competitive districts, including some in Florida and other battleground states. The story suggests fundraising and redistricting could shape how competitive his race becomes, but it does not give many specific details about Murphy himself.
fec.gov+40
Latest Polls
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Luke Murphy currently averages 5.8%, ranking third in this race, 2.4 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 5.8%Position: thirdMargin: -2.4 ptsLatest poll: 13.0% (Aug 10 - 11)Polls included: 7
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 10 - 11.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$280.4K
$210.3K
$140.2K
$70.1K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$280.4K
$156.4K
$124.1K
$6.5K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements