Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mandela Barnes

Overview

Current roleFormer Lieutenant Governor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age39 years old (Dec 1, 1986)

GenderMale

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LocationWisconsin

BackgroundPolitician

EducationAlabama A&M University — B.A., communications media (performance specialization) (completed 2020)

Notable personal detailsJ. Mandela Barnes is an American politician who served as the 45th lieutenant governor of Wisconsin (2019–2023) and previously represented Wisconsin's 11th Assembly district (2013–2017). He was the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin in 2022. Barnes has attended Alabama A&M University and later completed a Bachelor of Arts degree in communications media (performance specialization). In 2025, he announced a run for governor of Wisconsin in the 2026 election cycle.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports closing tax loopholes for the ultra‑rich and raising taxes on corporations and the wealthiest while cutting taxes for working‑ and middle‑class households; proposes reforming specific state tax credits (e.g., agriculture/manufacturing) to benefit local small businesses and family farmers. Advocates using increased revenue to expand programs such as BadgerCare and invest in education, jobs, and housing affordability.

Healthcare

Mandela Barnes has expressed support for Medicare for All and also backs incremental expansions such as lowering the Medicare eligibility age and expanding Medicaid/BadgerCare access, while proposing targeted initiatives like Black maternal-health policy and full Medicaid expansion in Wisconsin.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports federal protections for abortion access (has called for codifying Roe v. Wade) and has received endorsements from reproductive-rights organizations; expresses that abortion decisions should be made between a patient and their doctor while rejecting extreme bans.

Climate & Energy

Supports Green New Deal–style policies and a transition to 100% renewable/clean energy, has chaired a statewide task force that produced 55 policy recommendations to reduce emissions, expand renewables, and prioritize environmental justice and clean-energy jobs.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks, red-flag (extreme risk protection) laws, bans on assault-style weapons and high-capacity magazines, and other significant firearm restrictions as part of a broader gun violence prevention agenda.

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

1d

Barnes dropping out further consolidates the Democratic field behind Francesca Hong and David Crowley, reinforcing Hong’s already-dominant market position and narrowing the set of tradable challengers.

0%29%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 31, 2026

Mandela Barnes has dropped out of the Wisconsin Democratic governor’s race, narrowing the field just before the Aug. 11 primary. He said it was clear who the party’s nominee would be, and the move came as Francesca Hong was leading recent polling and David Crowley remained in the race. Barnes had previously been one of the Democratic frontrunners and had also rolled out policy proposals, including a plan to ban AI-driven price increases.

en.wikipedia.org+57

Polls

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
20.0%
22.2%
9.6%
8.1%
7.5%
Mandela Barnes
M. Barnes
Francesca Hong
F. Hong
Sara Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
David Crowley
D. Crowley
Josh Kaul
J. Kaul
Kelda Roys
K. Roys
Joel Brennan
J. Brennan
Missy Hughes
M. Hughes
Ben Wikler
B. Wikler
Brett Hulsey
B. Hulsey
Date (Start - End)SpreadBarnesHongRodriguezCrowleyKaulRoysBrennanHughesWiklerHulsey
Polling Average
Hong+2.3
20.0%22.2%9.6%8.1%7.5%3.0%2.5%1.2%1.0%0.4%
State NavigateJul 23 - 26
Hong+30.0
14.0%44.0%4.0%15.0%4.0%4.0%1.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 20 - 22
Hong+20.0
15.0%35.0%14.0%5.0%3.0%
Impact ResearchJul 18 - 20
Hong+13.0
26.0%39.0%11.0%7.0%6.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 18 - 20
Hong+8.0
30.0%38.0%9.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8 - 16
Hong+11.0
15.0%26.0%11.0%1.0%2.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4
Hong+2.0
28.0%30.0%19.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+13.0
23.4%7.3%10.4%8.2%3.3%1.7%0.2%0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+11.8
24.1%8.5%12.3%8.0%3.9%1.6%0.2%0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18
Hong+3.0
11.0%14.0%3.0%3.0%1.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16
Hong+9.0
18.0%27.0%6.0%6.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19
Hong+1.0
10.0%11.0%6.0%3.0%1.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12
Barnes+8.0
28.0%5.0%20.0%7.0%2.0%0.0%1.0%1.0%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21
Barnes+13.0
21.0%6.0%6.0%8.0%1.0%2.0%
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30
Barnes+8.0
16.0%4.0%8.0%7.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Endorsers of Mandela Barnes for Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

UAW

Elected official

UAW endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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The Next 50

Elected official

The Next 50 endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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NRDC Action Fund

Political organization

NRDC Action Fund endorsed Mandela Barnes in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.

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Adam Schiff

Elected official

Adam Schiff endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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UFCW Local 1473

Elected official

UFCW Local 1473 endorsed Mandela Barnes for governor.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2022
Total raisedCash on hand
$42.3M
$31.8M
$21.2M
$10.6M
$0

2022

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$42.3M
$565.7K
$41.8M
$1.7M

Source: FEC