Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mandela Barnes

Overview

Current roleFormer Lieutenant Governor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age39 years old (Dec 1, 1986)

GenderMale

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LocationWisconsin

BackgroundPolitician

EducationJohn Marshall High School (Milwaukee) (graduated 2003)

Notable personal detailsJ. Mandela Barnes is an American politician who served as the 45th Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin from 2019 to 2023. He previously represented Wisconsin’s 11th Assembly District from 2013 to 2017. Barnes was born and raised in Milwaukee and attended Milwaukee Public Schools, graduating from John Marshall High School in 2003. He attended Alabama A&M University and later earned a B.A. in communications media specializing in performance.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports closing tax loopholes for the ultra‑rich and raising taxes on corporations and the wealthiest while cutting taxes for working‑ and middle‑class households; proposes reforming specific state tax credits (e.g., agriculture/manufacturing) to benefit local small businesses and family farmers. Advocates using increased revenue to expand programs such as BadgerCare and invest in education, jobs, and housing affordability.

Healthcare

Mandela Barnes has expressed support for Medicare for All and also backs incremental expansions such as lowering the Medicare eligibility age and expanding Medicaid/BadgerCare access, while proposing targeted initiatives like Black maternal-health policy and full Medicaid expansion in Wisconsin.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports federal protections for abortion access (has called for codifying Roe v. Wade) and has received endorsements from reproductive-rights organizations; expresses that abortion decisions should be made between a patient and their doctor while rejecting extreme bans.

Climate & Energy

Supports Green New Deal–style policies and a transition to 100% renewable/clean energy, has chaired a statewide task force that produced 55 policy recommendations to reduce emissions, expand renewables, and prioritize environmental justice and clean-energy jobs.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks, red-flag (extreme risk protection) laws, bans on assault-style weapons and high-capacity magazines, and other significant firearm restrictions as part of a broader gun violence prevention agenda.

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

7d

Barnes is now the front-runner for the Wisconsin Democratic governor nomination, with 43% and a 9-point lead.

43%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

14d

Mandela Barnes is at 53% in "Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?" after falling 8.0 points over the last 3 days.

53%8%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

19d

Barnes’s nomination price ticked up from 56% to 58% over the last hour while new public coverage still puts him at the center of a crowded Wisconsin Democratic primary. That keeps him the clear front-runner, but the move is modest enough to matter mainly as a confirmation of strength rather than a fresh rerating.

58%2%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Mandela Barnes is in the news as a Democratic candidate for Wisconsin governor in a crowded primary ahead of the August 11 vote. He has been campaigning on cost-of-living issues, including a proposal to ban companies from using AI to raise prices or limit services. Barnes also criticized a Republican rival’s suggestion that some Jan. 6 defendants could receive restitution, calling it a bad idea.

en.wikipedia.org+53

Polls

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
18.9%
11.0%
9.0%
7.5%
6.0%
Mandela Barnes
M. Barnes
Francesca Hong
F. Hong
Sara Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
Josh Kaul
J. Kaul
David Crowley
D. Crowley
Kelda Roys
K. Roys
Joel Brennan
J. Brennan
Missy Hughes
M. Hughes
Ben Wikler
B. Wikler
Brett Hulsey
B. Hulsey
Date (Start - End)SpreadBarnesHongRodriguezKaulCrowleyRoysBrennanHughesWiklerHulsey
Polling Average
Barnes+8.0
18.9%11.0%9.0%7.5%6.0%2.3%1.5%1.2%1.0%0.4%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+13.0
23.4%7.3%10.4%8.2%3.3%1.7%0.2%0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+11.8
24.1%8.5%12.3%8.0%3.9%1.6%0.2%0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18
Hong+3.0
11.0%14.0%3.0%3.0%1.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16
Hong+9.0
18.0%27.0%6.0%6.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19
Hong+1.0
10.0%11.0%6.0%3.0%1.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12
Barnes+8.0
28.0%5.0%20.0%7.0%2.0%0.0%1.0%1.0%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21
Barnes+13.0
21.0%6.0%8.0%6.0%1.0%2.0%
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30
Barnes+8.0
16.0%4.0%8.0%7.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2022
Total raisedCash on hand
$42.3M
$31.8M
$21.2M
$10.6M
$0

2022

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$42.3M
$565.7K
$41.8M
$1.7M

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements