Prediction Edge
Democrat
Manny Rutinel

Manny Rutinel

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Colorado

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Manny Rutinel is trading at 79% to win the CO-08 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Age31 years old (Dec 20, 1994)

GenderMale

LocationColorado

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationYale University, Juris Doctor (JD) (2018–2022)

Notable personal detailsManny Rutinel is an American attorney, economist, and politician who has served in the Colorado House of Representatives (District 32) since 2023. He ran for U.S. House in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle and won the Democratic nomination. His background includes work as an economist with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and legal work as an environmental attorney.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanding tax credits for working parents and middle-class families, closing corporate and billionaire tax loopholes, and reducing costs for families by addressing tariffs and health/prescription costs. Has sponsored state legislation to help low-income residents claim tax benefits.

Healthcare

Supports lowering healthcare costs and expanding access by strengthening Medicare (including expanding Medicare’s power to negotiate drug prices), capping insulin costs, and protecting Social Security and Medicare; opposes federal Medicaid cuts.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports reproductive rights and opposes efforts to limit abortion access; he describes himself as a steadfast opponent of restrictions on abortion. He is endorsed by pro-reproductive-rights organizations and is identified as supporting reproductive rights in voter guides.

Climate & Energy

Supports strong climate and clean-energy policies, including decarbonization measures and clean energy transition efforts; has professional experience running a climate-focused nonprofit and serves on state energy/environment bodies. Voting and advocacy record in the Colorado legislature and high scores from state environmental groups indicate consistent pro-climate policy positions without explicit Green New Deal–level pledges in the cited materials.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has sponsored and co-sponsored state legislation to strengthen gun safety measures (for example, requiring firearms stored in vehicles to be kept in lock boxes) and serves in the Colorado legislature where he has supported recent gun-safety bills. His record indicates support for regulatory measures intended to improve public safety while operating within state law.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

CO-08 House winner?

1d

Manny Rutinel's odds are now 95%, above the previous high of 81%.

95%14%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

Manny Rutinel is in the news because he won the Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District and is now headed into the general election against Republican Gabe Evans. The race is drawing attention because the district is competitive and issues like immigration, affordability, Medicaid, and the local farm economy are central. He is also facing backlash over resurfaced past comments and writings on veganism and animal agriculture, and he says those views no longer reflect his current position.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

CO-08 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Manny Rutinel currently averages 24.7%, ranking second in this race, 18.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 24.7%Position: secondMargin: -18.8 ptsLatest poll: 44.0% (Jun 11 - 14)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 11 - 14.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
24.7%
43.5%
22.4%
8%
Manny Rutinel
M. Rutinel
Yadira Caraveo
Y. Caraveo
Shannon Bird
S. Bird
Dave Young
D. Young
Amie Baca-Oehlert
A. Baca-Oehlert
Date (Start - End)SpreadRutinelCaraveoBirdYoungBaca-Oehlert
Polling Average
Caraveo+18.8
24.7%43.5%22.4%8.0%4.0%
GBAOJun 11 - 14
Rutinel+13.0
44.0%31.0%
GBAOApr 22 - 26
Bird+1.0
31.0%32.0%
Normington, Petts & AssociatesApr 20 - 22
Bird+1.0
24.0%25.0%
Normington, Petts & AssociatesFeb 19 - 23
Rutinel+1.0
20.0%19.0%
Public Policy PollingMay 19 - 20
Caraveo+28.0
8.0%36.0%5.0%8.0%4.0%
Public Policy PollingMay 19 - 20
Caraveo+30.0
21.0%51.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$4.3M
$3.3M
$2.2M
$1.1M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$4.3M
$601.2K
$3.7M
$207.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements