IA-01 House winner?
1dChristina Bohannan fell from 32% to 32% while Mariannette Miller-Meeks rose from 32% to 32%, a meaningful one-day swing in a toss-up House race that traders should monitor for follow-through.
32%0%
Republican
Incumbent
Incumbent
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Iowa
$158.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Mariannette Miller-Meeks is trading at 33% to win the IA-01 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age71 years old (Sep 6, 1955)
GenderFemale
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LocationIowa
BackgroundPhysician (ophthalmologist)
EducationSan Antonio Junior College (attended)
Notable personal detailsMariannette Jane Miller-Meeks is a Republican member of the U.S. House representing Iowa’s 1st Congressional District (first elected in 2020; in office since January 3, 2021). She is a physician (ophthalmologist) and a U.S. Army veteran, with prior public service including Director of the Iowa Department of Public Health and service in the Iowa State Senate. She earned nursing and graduate degrees before completing her M.D. at the University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio.
SourcesShowHide
history.house.govclerk.house.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgfec.govde.wikipedia.orgfr.wikipedia.orgballotready.orgdocquery.fec.govdrmillermeeks.commillermeeks.house.govpostman.comit.wikipedia.orgivoterguide.comlegilist.comes.wikipedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgthegazette.comiowademocrats.orgaha.orghpp.curastrategies.comdailyiowan.comkcci.comiowacapitaldispatch.comkcrg.comapnews.commillerdailynews.comcresenergy.comlcv.orgnrapvf.orgnrcc.orgdesmoinesregister.comafpaction.comuschamber.comnfib.comfacebook.comkniakrls.comktiv.compunchbowl.newsqctimes.comiowapublicradio.orgwgem.compress-citizen.compbs.orgwcfcourier.comreutersconnect.comyoutube.comgovinfo.govcongress.govnews.ballotpedia.orgziplook.house.govbioguideretro.congress.govdisclosures-clerk.house.govhydesmith.senate.govfrankingfiles.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports tax relief for seniors, small businesses, and energy-related tax credits while backing Republican budget measures that reduce spending and enable tax cuts. Emphasizes lowering costs for families and businesses through targeted tax deductions and permanent small-business tax provisions.
Healthcare
Supports market-based reforms to lower costs and expand choices (association health plans, defined-contribution/CHOICE arrangements, PBM transparency) while opposing single-payer/Medicare-for-All and emphasizing preserving the doctor–patient relationship. Has backed legislation to lower premiums, increase insurance options, and supported measures to protect Medicare benefits such as coverage for cancer screening while expressing interest in identifying savings that avoid significant harm to Medicaid, including work requirement discussions.
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Immigration & Border
Supports enforcement-first border policies including finishing border wall construction, expanding Border Patrol personnel and resources, stricter screening and limits on asylum-related policies, and other measures to reduce illegal crossings and deport criminal noncitizens. Has voted for and cosponsored legislation increasing border enforcement and voted to impeach the DHS secretary over border management.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Mariannette Miller-Meeks describes herself as pro-life while stating she supports exceptions for rape, incest, and to protect the life of the mother. She has previously cosponsored the 2021 Life at Conception Act but more recently has said abortion policy should be left to the states and has indicated support for a federal 15-week ban as a potential compromise.
Climate & Energy
Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach that emphasizes abundant, affordable, and reliable domestic energy production, market-based innovation, and streamlined permitting while opposing aggressive regulatory actions that would take existing fossil-fuel plants offline. Chairs the House Conservative Climate Caucus and backs policies to promote domestic energy production, critical mineral supply chains, nuclear and advanced technologies along with renewable deployment where appropriate. Voting record and environmental scorecards show frequent votes against stronger EPA and climate-related/
Public Safety & Guns
Supports strong protection of Second Amendment rights, opposes bans on commonly owned semi-automatic firearms and federal limits on private transfers, and backs concealed-carry reciprocity and policies favoring law enforcement. Advocates gun-safety measures such as safe storage and training while opposing broad new federal gun-control mandates.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
IA-01 House winner?
1dMariannette Miller-Meeks's odds in "IA-01 House winner?" are now 40%, above the prior high of 35%.
40%5%
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 6, 2026
Mariannette Miller-Meeks has secured the Republican nomination in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District and will face Democrat Christina Bohannan again in the general election. The race is being treated as highly competitive, with both parties expected to spend heavily and outside groups already targeting the seat. More recently, advocacy groups have launched campaign efforts to support her, while Planned Parenthood has named her as one of its Republican targets.
history.house.gov+54
Articles
ATAmes Tribune3 months ago
5 key voting takeaways that explain Iowa's fascinating primary results
Positive
NNewsmax3 months ago
Rep. Miller-Meeks to Newsmax: Iowa Voters Will Reject Dems' Push
Positive
NNewsmax3 months ago
GOP's Miller-Meeks, Dem Bohannan Head for Rematch in Iowa Congress Race
Positive
RReuters3 months ago
Republican Miller-Meeks, Democrat Bohannan head for rematch in Iowa congressional race
Positive
Latest Polls
IA-01 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Mariannette Miller-Meeks currently averages 37.0%, ranking second in this race, 4.5 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 37.0%Position: secondMargin: -4.5 ptsLatest poll: 35.0% (Jul 13 - 16)Polls included: 2
Average recalculated from polls through Jul 13 - 16.
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
37%
41.5%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$7.2M
$5.4M
$3.6M
$1.8M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$4.9M
$328.3K
$5.0M
$209.8K
Cycle 2024
$5.8M
$373.7K
$5.8M
$239.8K
Cycle 2026
$7.2M
$4.7M
$2.9M
$160.6K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements