Prediction Edge
Republican
Mark Coester

Mark Coester

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Vermont

Live Odds — VT-AL Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$11.8KAUG 18, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSmall business owner

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationVermont

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BackgroundSmall business owner

Notable personal detailsCarl Mark Coester is a Republican candidate for Vermont’s at-large seat in the U.S. House. He has run for federal and state office in Vermont, including the 2024 general election for U.S. House. He describes his background as a small business owner with experience in trades including logging/lumber work, fishing-related work, and maple sugaring, and is based in Westminster, Vermont.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Mark Coester has emphasized cutting taxes to lower the cost of living and framed economic problems as being driven in part by regulatory barriers. His public remarks also align with a pro-business, free-enterprise approach rather than support for higher taxes or expanded government spending.

Immigration & Border

Supports enforcing existing immigration laws and strengthening border security. Emphasizes a robust, secure border, lawful entry, and opposes amnesty or fast-tracking citizenship for people in the country illegally.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Mark Coester said abortion is a state issue and that Congress should not act on it federally. In a debate, he said women have the right to get an abortion in Vermont, but he did not state support for any broader level of abortion access and declined to answer questionnaire questions about abortion restrictions or federal limits.

Climate & Energy

Mark Coester rejects the need to eliminate fossil fuel use and says climate change has nothing to do with CO2. He describes zero-carbon efforts as a scam and argues that reducing CO2 would harm life and cost taxpayers heavily.

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

University of New Hampshire Survey Center
8%6%4%2%0%
6%
Mark Coester
M. Coester
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJul 20, 2026
6.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 23, 2026
19.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

4
VT-AL Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$191.3K
$143.5K
$95.7K
$47.8K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$191.3K
$177.6K
$7.4K

Cycle 2026

$36.0K
$9.2K
$17.8K
$934.74

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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