Prediction Edge
Independent
Mark Moran

Mark Moran

Overview

Current roleInvestment banker

PartyIndependent

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationVirginia

BackgroundInvestment banker

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Notable personal detailsMark Moran is a Virginia-based political candidate who filed with the FEC for the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Virginia under an independent affiliation. He has described himself publicly as a former investment banker and has appeared on HBO Max’s reality series “FBoy Island.” In April 2026, he announced he was leaving the Democratic Party and running as an independent for U.S. Senate.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports new taxes on large corporate actors (specifically data centers) to fund expanded public higher-education benefits and backs major social spending expansions such as debt-free college and Medicare for All. Opposes taking corporate PAC or billionaire donations, framing policy toward constraining corporate influence and increasing public investment.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and describes healthcare as a right, calling for a single‑payer system that provides comprehensive coverage with no premiums, deductibles, or copays. Also proposes codifying reproductive and maternal care coverage and expanding veterans’ healthcare.

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Immigration & Border

Supports abolishing U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and opposes the use of mass surveillance technology in immigration enforcement. Advocates limiting surveillance-driven enforcement practices as part of broader immigration and civil‑liberty reforms.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying reproductive rights into law and ensuring access to contraception, pregnancy, and maternal care. Positions emphasize protecting and expanding reproductive-health access as part of broader healthcare policy.

Climate & Energy

Mark Moran’s campaign emphasis on energy centers on affordability and taxing data centers to lower costs, with statements about high electric bills in Virginia but no detailed climate policy or clear stance on emissions, renewables, or fossil fuels. Public reporting highlights cost-of-living priorities rather than concrete climate or energy-transition proposals.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks and an assault rifle ban, and proposes closing gun-show and Charleston loopholes while framing gun policy as part of public-safety reforms.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Mark Moran is in the news because Kalshi fined and suspended him for betting on his own Virginia Senate race. The company said he violated its rules and imposed a five-year ban, while Moran said he made the bet deliberately to call attention to what he called corruption at Kalshi. He had recently left the Democratic primary to continue his Senate bid as an independent.

fec.gov+48

Polls

The Public Sentiment Institute
6%5%4%3%2%1%0%
Mark Moran
M. Moran
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 16, 2026
3.8%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 16, 2026
3.3%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 16, 2026
3.7%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 16, 2026
3.1%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 16, 2026
3.6%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 5, 2026
3.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising