Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mark Robert Gordon

Mark Robert Gordon

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Live Odds — AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$225.5KJUL 22, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationArizona

BackgroundAttorney

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EducationPrinceton University (Public & International Affairs; Afro-American Studies)

Notable personal detailsMark Robert Gordon is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District. He is an attorney and voting rights advocate and has led election protection efforts, including serving as election integrity director for the Maricopa County Democratic Party. He has served as an elected National Committeeman of the Democratic National Committee and founded the Voting Rights Fund.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for homeowners (including a 25% exemption on the first $1 million of assessed home value), opposes instituting a state income tax, and favors conservative budgeting that prioritizes savings and restrained spending while using targeted supplemental funding for emergencies and local backfills. Policy actions include signing property tax-cut legislation and proposing deposits to permanent savings from budget surpluses.

Healthcare

The candidate has pursued targeted, state-level health measures such as workforce development and support for expanded postpartum Medicaid coverage while opposing some broadly restrictive abortion-related rules; he has not endorsed a major federal single-payer or universal-coverage plan and has historically been cautious about full Medicaid expansion. His public actions emphasize state-led, targeted investments and regulatory decisions rather than a clear ideological shift toward large-scale progressive or conservative health-system overhauls.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports strong restrictions on abortion and describes himself as pro‑life; has signed legislation limiting abortion (including 2023 bills banning medication abortion and a 'Life is a Human Right' measure) and has urged a constitutional amendment to prohibit abortion. He vetoed a 2025 bill requiring transvaginal ultrasounds as overly invasive, but his record and statements favor near‑total limits on abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Prioritizes continued use and development of Wyoming’s fossil fuel industries while supporting technology-driven carbon management (carbon capture and storage) and limited growth of renewables; opposes broad federal rules perceived as threatening state energy jobs and grid reliability. Emphasizes state control over energy decisions and energy independence rather than aggressive emissions phase-outs or Green New Deal–style mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Mark Robert Gordon (Governor Mark Gordon of Wyoming) consistently positions himself as a pro-Second Amendment official who has signed multiple pro-gun measures, opposed red flag laws, and taken actions to expand concealed-carry access in state facilities while raising constitutional/local-control objections to certain legislative approaches. He has described protecting Second Amendment rights as fundamental and has directed state agencies to draft rules to permit concealed carry in state-run buildings. Gordon has also at times vetoed or criticized specific bills on separation-of-powers orlocal

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJan 20, 2026

Recent news centers on the Democratic National Committee launching a new voter registration initiative after a reported net loss of 2.1 million registered Democrats from 2020 to 2024. The effort will target younger and working-class voters, with Arizona and Nevada selected as initial pilot states due to significant registration gaps. As a candidate, Mark Robert Gordon is operating in a political environment where Democratic turnout and registration strategy is becoming a heightened focus ahead of 2026 House tensions.

fec.gov+46

Latest Polls

AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

HighGround
40%30%20%10%0%
32.5%
11%
Mark Robert Gordon
M. Gordon
Amish Shah
A. Shah
Marlene Galán-Woods
M. Galán-Woods
Jonathan Treble
J. Treble
Rick McCartney
R. McCartney
Date (Start - End)SpreadGordonShahGalán-WoodsTrebleMcCartney
HighGroundFeb 21 - 23
Shah+30.7
1.8%32.5%11.0%1.5%1.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$299.1K
$224.3K
$149.6K
$74.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$299.1K
$61.9K
$236.7K
$12.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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