Prediction Edge
Republican
Mark Robinson

Mark Robinson

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in North Carolina

Live Odds — North Carolina Republican Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$222.9KMAR 4, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Lieutenant Governor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age58 years old (Aug 18, 1968)

GenderMale

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LocationNorth Carolina

BackgroundPolitician

EducationNorth Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University (attended)

Notable personal detailsMark Keith Robinson is an American politician who served as the 35th lieutenant governor of North Carolina from 2021 to 2025. A Republican, he first gained statewide prominence after a 2018 speech on gun rights at the Greensboro City Council went viral. He later ran for governor of North Carolina in 2024 and lost in the general election.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting taxes for individuals and businesses, reducing regulatory burdens, and pursuing government efficiency to put more money back into North Carolinians' pockets. Advocates trimming regulations that hinder businesses and prioritizing lower taxes as part of his economic plan.

Healthcare

Mark Robinson opposes Medicaid expansion in North Carolina and has called for full repeal of the Affordable Care Act, stating federal involvement in health care should be removed. His campaign issues page emphasizes veterans’ care and “healthcare close to home” but does not endorse expansion or a public option.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger enforcement and cooperation with federal immigration authorities, opposes sanctuary policies, and has advocated deportation in some public remarks. Has promoted anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim rhetoric in public statements and social media posts.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has repeatedly stated he opposes abortion in nearly all circumstances and has said he would work to outlaw or progressively ban abortion; more recently he has publicly softened language and endorsed limits with exceptions (rape, incest, life of the mother) but his prior statements endorse near-total bans.

Climate & Energy

Rejects mainstream climate science and characterizes climate change as "junk science," opposes climate-focused regulation and activists, and supports continued fossil fuel development while endorsing nuclear power as an energy option.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate consistently defends expansive Second Amendment rights, opposes new gun-registration and gun-control measures, and supports policies such as constitutional carry and repeal of purchase-permit requirements. He has publicly said he owns AR-15 style rifles for resisting government overreach and has received high ratings and endorsements from major pro-gun organizations.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Mark Robinson is in the news mainly because North Carolina’s 2026 Senate race is becoming more competitive and is now being watched as part of the broader fight for Senate control. Recent coverage says the state’s primary season is underway and that North Carolina has shifted in some forecasts, with the race moving from toss-up to lean Democratic in one major outlook. Separate reporting also notes that North Carolina’s voter ID law was upheld in federal court, a legal win for Republicans in the state.

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