Prediction Edge
Republican
Mark Teixeira

Mark Teixeira

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Mark Teixeira is trading at 93% to win the TX-21 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleProfessional baseball player

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age46 years old (Apr 11, 1980)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundProfessional baseball player

EducationGeorgia Institute of Technology (Georgia Tech)

Notable personal detailsMark Charles Teixeira is an American former Major League Baseball first baseman who played 14 seasons in MLB, including with the Texas Rangers and New York Yankees, and won a World Series championship with the Yankees in 2009. In 2026, he became a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas’ 21st Congressional District (TX-21) and formed authorized committees including Mark Teixeira for Congress. He attended Georgia Tech as a student-athlete and later moved back to Texas in 2021.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reducing government spending, cutting “waste, fraud and abuse,” and advancing economic freedom; backs policies aligned with the America First agenda. Campaign materials and news coverage emphasize bringing private-sector efficiency to government and supporting measures that cut bureaucracy.

Healthcare

Supports lowering costs and expanding consumer choice by increasing competition in insurance markets, reducing federal control over healthcare decisions, and targeting fraud and waste in Medicare/Medicaid. Emphasizes market-based reforms to expand access rather than government-run single-payer solutions. Advocates putting patients and doctors, not bureaucrats, in charge of care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement rather than expanded immigration pathways; emphasizes securing the border and backing America First/Trump-era border policies while criticizing the Biden administration’s approach. Endorsed by border enforcement groups and signals willingness to pursue tougher enforcement measures in Congress.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes abortion and lists protecting the unborn as a campaign issue, pledging to defend life and safeguard religious liberty. Public statements and campaign materials identify him as anti-abortion and committed to policies that restrict access to abortion.

Climate & Energy

Supports energy independence by promoting expansion of Texas oil and gas and development of nuclear power, prioritizing increased domestic energy production and lower costs rather than aggressive emissions regulation. Platform emphasizes unleashing fossil fuels and nuclear to restore U.S. energy dominance. No campaign materials endorse Green New Deal–style targets or phasing out fossil fuels.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports defending the Second Amendment and backing law enforcement while emphasizing conservative public-safety priorities. No evidence found of support for major new federal gun restrictions in campaign materials or early coverage.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Mark Teixeira has won the Republican primary for Texas’s 21st Congressional District, moving on to the general election. He emerged from a crowded GOP field and received Donald Trump’s endorsement. The seat is open, and Teixeira will face Democrat Kristin Hook and independent Dan McQueen in November.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

TX-21 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ragnar Research Partners
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38%
7%
5%
Mark Teixeira
M. Teixeira
Jason Cahill
J. Cahill
Michael Wheeler
M. Wheeler
Trey Trainor
T. Trainor
Date (Start - End)SpreadTeixeiraCahillWheelerTrainor
Ragnar Research PartnersFeb 5 - 7
Teixeira+31.0
38.0%7.0%5.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$4.2M
$3.1M
$2.1M
$1.0M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$4.2M
$461.2K
$3.7M
$206.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements