Prediction Edge
Democrat
Marni von Wilpert

Marni von Wilpert

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Marni von Wilpert is trading at 1% to win the CA-48 primary: first place on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCouncil Member

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age43 years old (Dec 27, 1982)

GenderFemale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundAttorney

Notable personal detailsMarni Lynn von Wilpert is an American attorney and politician serving on the San Diego City Council, representing District 5 (first elected in 2020 and re-elected in 2024). She is a Democrat and a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California’s 48th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. She has described her professional background as a councilwoman and health advocate.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies that increase wages for workers and favors using public revenue to expand social investments such as public pre-K and higher education; has backed city measures that raise or adjust local fees/taxes to address budget needs. Her record shows support for progressive labor and local-revenue measures rather than tax cuts.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to quality healthcare and public-health investments, including behavioral health and reproductive health protections; aligns with labor and healthcare worker organizations advocating for stronger accountability and investment in care. Emphasizes public-health measures (e.g., enforcement of pandemic rules, flavored-tobacco restrictions) and backing from healthcare worker unions.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports expanded legal pathways for at least some refugees and has sponsored local measures opposing aggressive federal immigration enforcement tactics while emphasizing due process. Positions focus on protecting asylum access and offering routes to lawful status for specific groups rather than advocating enforcement-first policies.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports reproductive rights and has acted to protect access to abortion care; identified as a champion for reproductive rights in her campaign materials and has received endorsements from reproductive-rights organizations. Positions emphasize protecting reproductive freedom following the Dobbs decision.

Climate & Energy

Supports meeting local climate action goals, investing in clean energy and transit, and measures to reduce carbon emissions such as electrifying vehicle fleets and expanding transit and resilience projects. Emphasizes protecting air and water quality and funding climate-resilience and restoration projects. Positions favor moderate climate investment and transition measures while pursuing local regulatory and infrastructure actions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports gun violence prevention measures including local restrictions on untraceable “ghost” guns and measures to increase firearm accountability while also supporting fully funded local law enforcement and public-safety resources. Has authored and helped pass San Diego ordinances targeting ghost guns and sponsored policies to ensure city-contracted gun dealers follow state and federal laws.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 14, 2026

Marni von Wilpert has advanced to the November election in California’s 48th Congressional District after the top-two primary, setting up a race against Republican Jim Desmond. She has emerged as one of the leading Democrats in the crowded contest and has drawn outside spending and endorsements from labor, education, and LGBTQ groups. More recently, her planned fundraiser at a San Diego LGBTQ venue has sparked criticism from Republicans, while her campaign has highlighted LGBTQ rights as a key issue.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tulchin Research
10%8%6%4%2%0%
7%
Marni von Wilpert
M. Wilpert
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Tulchin ResearchFeb 22, 2026
7.0%
Blueprint PollingFeb 4, 2026
9.3%
Blueprint PollingFeb 4, 2026
6.1%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$543.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.2M
$825.0K
$1.3M
$75.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements