Prediction Edge
Democrat
Martha Guerrero

Martha Guerrero

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-06 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$58.3KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleMayor of West Sacramento

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationCalifornia

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BackgroundMayor of West Sacramento

EducationCalifornia State University, Los Angeles (B.A./B.S., Social Work)

Notable personal detailsMartha Guerrero is the mayor of West Sacramento, first elected in 2020 and re-elected in 2024. She is a licensed clinical social worker and has worked in public service and intergovernmental/legislative advocacy, including roles connected to Los Angeles County government. She earned degrees from California State University, Los Angeles and the University of Southern California, and has served on city and regional boards and commissions.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using federal tax policy to strengthen social supports (for example expanding the Child Tax Credit and protecting SNAP) and criticizes tax cuts that prioritize wealthy individuals and large corporations over funding public programs. Emphasizes putting resources toward health, nutrition, and services rather than tax breaks for the wealthy.

Healthcare

Martha Guerrero has advocated for expanded mental-health and social-service funding and supported California’s Proposition 63, a tax to fund mental‑health programs. Her public materials emphasize strengthening access to social services, aging programs, and services for people experiencing homelessness. There is no explicit statement on Medicare for All or a national single‑payer plan in the cited sources.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for immigrants and opposes aggressive federal immigration enforcement actions such as ICE raids; frames immigrant communities as targets of harmful policies and pledges to fight those measures. Immigration protections are presented alongside broader progressive priorities rather than detailed proposals for immigration legalization or pathway-to-citizenship legislation.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has expressed support for abortion access, stating that women should have the right to choose and has framed reproductive rights as a priority in local leadership contexts. Her campaign website does not appear to include a detailed abortion policy statement.

Climate & Energy

Supports taking bold action on climate by restoring clean energy tax credits, investing in green jobs and clean energy infrastructure, holding polluters accountable, and protecting frontline communities and clean air and water.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strengthening public safety by investing in law enforcement and expanding access to mental-health crisis response, and seeks to reduce gun violence through commonsense gun safety reforms while protecting families and communities.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Martha Guerrero is being mentioned in coverage of California’s redistricting fight and the congressional races it is reshaping. The latest reports say Democrats redrew the state’s map to create new Democratic-leaning seats, and that the Sacramento-area race tied to California’s 6th District is still being watched as ballots are counted. The broader story is that these map changes are affecting candidate strategy and could influence which party gains ground in the next House elections.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

EMC Research
12%10%8%6%4%2%0%
9%
Martha Guerrero
M. Guerrero
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
EMC ResearchMay 6, 2026
9.0%
Normington, Petts & AssociatesFeb 19, 2026
9.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$205.0K
$153.7K
$102.5K
$51.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$205.0K
$124.17
$204.8K
$10.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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